Gavrilets Sergey, Seabright Paul
Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996.
Department of Mathematics, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 Aug 12;122(32):e2504339122. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2504339122. Epub 2025 Aug 5.
People and cultures differ in the extent to which they view the world as a zero-sum environment (where one person's gain is another's loss) or a positive-sum environment (where certain actions can benefit everyone). These beliefs shape individuals' willingness to work, invest, collaborate, or show hostility toward out-groups, and accept or reject various social policies. We model dyadic interactions in a heterogeneous population where individuals biased toward a zero-sum worldview are more likely to invest in competition, while those biased toward a positive-sum worldview are more likely to invest in cooperation. The environment alternates stochastically between cooperative and competitive states. Without social influence, the more accurate worldview yields higher utilities and spreads throughout the population. However, assortative matching by bias can favor the positive-sum worldview even if a positive-sum environment is somewhat less likely. With peer conformity, inaccurate worldviews can persist after a structural change in the environment, leading to cultural evolutionary mismatch. In the presence of cultural authorities who can alter beliefs, either both worldviews can coexist or one excludes the other. Moreover, when assortative matching and conformity interact, authorities may profit by amplifying individuals' biases, creating enclaves of similarly biased people who can pay the authorities enough to make investment in persuasive technology economically viable. Cultural evolutionary mismatch is more likely in cultures marked by strong peer conformity and high responsiveness to authority when the authority promotes a suboptimal worldview. This study demonstrates how real-world conditions, peer influence, and authority interventions can perpetuate or shift zero-sum and positive-sum worldviews-at times leading to inaccurate beliefs.
人们和文化在将世界视为零和环境(一人之所得即另一人之所失)还是正和环境(某些行动可使人人受益)的程度上存在差异。这些信念塑造了个人工作、投资、合作或对外群体表现出敌意的意愿,以及接受或拒绝各种社会政策的意愿。我们在一个异质群体中对二元互动进行建模,在这个群体中,倾向于零和世界观的个体更有可能投资于竞争,而倾向于正和世界观的个体更有可能投资于合作。环境在合作状态和竞争状态之间随机交替。在没有社会影响的情况下,更准确的世界观会带来更高的效用,并在人群中传播。然而,即使正和环境的可能性稍小,按偏见进行的 assortative 匹配也可能有利于正和世界观。随着同伴的从众行为,不准确的世界观在环境发生结构变化后可能会持续存在,导致文化进化不匹配。在存在能够改变信念的文化权威的情况下,两种世界观可能共存,也可能一种排斥另一种。此外,当 assortative 匹配和从众行为相互作用时,权威可能会通过放大个体的偏见来获利,从而形成一群偏见相似的人组成的飞地,这些人可以向权威支付足够的费用,使对说服技术的投资在经济上可行。当权威推广次优世界观时,在以强烈的同伴从众行为和对权威的高响应性为特征的文化中,文化进化不匹配的可能性更大。这项研究展示了现实世界条件、同伴影响和权威干预如何使零和与正和世界观长期存在或发生转变——有时会导致不准确的信念。