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求同存异?瑞典异族伴侣的生育意愿

Agree to Disagree? Fertility Intentions Among Mixed Couples in Sweden.

作者信息

Mussino Eleonora, Uggla Caroline

机构信息

Stockholm University Demography Unit (SUDA), Stockholm, Sweden.

Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.

出版信息

Eur J Popul. 2025 Aug 6;41(1):20. doi: 10.1007/s10680-025-09742-w.

Abstract

Whether couples agree on having a(nother) child is crucial for both individuals and society. While fertility research has long focused on women, recent studies emphasize the need to incorporate both partners' perspectives. However, analyses that jointly consider men's and women's fertility intentions remain scarce. This focus on women has been partly driven by homogamy-the tendency for individuals to select partners with similar traits and values. Given that couples with mixed backgrounds have higher dissolution rates, they may also be less likely to share family-related beliefs. This study examines how agreement on fertility intentions varies among mixed and homogamous couples in Sweden. Using the 2021 Swedish Generation and Gender Survey (GGS) and stratifying by respondents' gender, we find that most couples agree not to have a(nother) child, reflecting recent fertility declines. Couples where both partners are migrants exhibit the highest agreement, while mixed couples show the most disagreement and the strongest gender asymmetries in reported intentions. However, these differences are small and vary by the gender of the reporting partner. The higher disagreement among mixed couples aligns with broader research on their elevated dissolution risks. However, reverse causality is possible-value differences may be linked to other stressors, making childbearing less desirable. By highlighting the role of couple composition in fertility decision-making, our findings contribute to understanding how family formation dynamics vary across different couple types.

摘要

夫妻双方对于生育(另一个)孩子的意见是否一致,对个人和社会都至关重要。虽然生育研究长期以来一直聚焦于女性,但近期的研究强调需要纳入夫妻双方的观点。然而,综合考虑男性和女性生育意愿的分析仍然很少。这种对女性的关注部分是由同质性驱动的,即个体倾向于选择具有相似特质和价值观的伴侣。鉴于背景不同的夫妻离婚率较高,他们也可能不太可能分享与家庭相关的信念。本研究考察了瑞典不同背景和同质性夫妻在生育意愿上的一致性差异。利用2021年瑞典代际与性别调查(GGS)并按受访者性别分层,我们发现大多数夫妻同意不生育(另一个)孩子,这反映了近期生育率的下降。双方都是移民的夫妻表现出最高的一致性,而不同背景的夫妻在报告的意愿上表现出最大的分歧和最强的性别不对称。然而,这些差异很小,并且因报告伴侣的性别而异。不同背景夫妻之间较高的分歧与关于他们更高离婚风险的更广泛研究一致。然而,可能存在反向因果关系——价值观差异可能与其他压力源有关,使得生育意愿降低。通过强调夫妻构成在生育决策中的作用,我们的研究结果有助于理解不同夫妻类型的家庭形成动态如何变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6623/12328862/d1e9dbb2bc4e/10680_2025_9742_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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