Abdic Admir, Becirovic Minela, Becirovic Emir, Pasic Fuad, Mehmedovic Zlatan, Hadžić Semir, Agic Mirha, Bećirović Amir, Babic Mirza, Ljuca Nadina, Babic Jusic Zarina, Ljuca Kenana
Department of Surgery, Cantonal Hospital Bihać, Bihać, BIH.
Internal Medicine Clinic, Department of Nephrology, University Clinical Centre Tuzla, Tuzla, BIH.
Cureus. 2025 Jul 9;17(7):e87598. doi: 10.7759/cureus.87598. eCollection 2025 Jul.
Background Acute cholecystitis (AC) is a frequent surgical emergency associated with significant variability in clinical outcomes and hospital length of stay (LOS). Early identification of patients at risk for prolonged hospitalization can improve triage and resource planning. Inflammatory markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell count (WBC), and total bilirubin (TBil), along with biliary complications like choledocholithiasis and Mirizzi syndrome, may have prognostic value. Materials and methods This retrospective study included 150 patients who underwent cholecystectomy for AC at the Department of General and Abdominal Surgery, University Clinical Centre Tuzla, Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina, between January 1, 2024, and January 31, 2025. Demographic, laboratory, and intraoperative data were collected. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis identified optimal cut-offs for inflammatory markers predicting prolonged LOS (≥7 days). Multivariate linear regression was used to assess independent predictors, including CRP, WBC, TBil, and intraoperative findings. Results We found that CRP was significantly higher in patients with prolonged LOS and demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.733 (95% CI: 0.630-0.835), followed by TBil and WBC. In multivariate analysis, only CRP ≥110.5 mg/L (p<0.001), the presence of choledocholithiasis in 26 patients (17.3%; p=0.010), and Mirizzi syndrome in seven patients (4.7%; p=0.017) remained significant predictors. WBC and TBil lost significance after adjustment. Conclusion CRP is the most reliable independent laboratory predictor of prolonged LOS in AC. The presence of choledocholithiasis and Mirizzi syndrome further contributes to extended hospitalization. These factors should be considered in early clinical risk assessment.
急性胆囊炎(AC)是一种常见的外科急症,临床结局和住院时间(LOS)存在显著差异。早期识别有延长住院风险的患者可改善分诊和资源规划。炎症标志物如C反应蛋白(CRP)、白细胞计数(WBC)和总胆红素(TBil),以及胆管结石和Mirizzi综合征等胆道并发症可能具有预后价值。
这项回顾性研究纳入了2024年1月1日至2025年1月31日期间在波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那图兹拉大学临床中心普通及腹部外科接受AC胆囊切除术的150例患者。收集了人口统计学、实验室和术中数据。采用受试者操作特征(ROC)分析确定预测延长LOS(≥7天)的炎症标志物的最佳临界值。使用多变量线性回归评估独立预测因素,包括CRP、WBC、TBil和术中发现。
我们发现,LOS延长的患者CRP显著更高,且显示出最高的预测准确性,曲线下面积(AUC)为0.733(95%CI:0.630 - 0.835),其次是TBil和WBC。在多变量分析中,只有CRP≥110.5 mg/L(p<0.001)、26例患者存在胆管结石(17.3%;p = 0.010)和7例患者存在Mirizzi综合征(4.7%;p = 0.017)仍然是显著的预测因素。调整后WBC和TBil失去了显著性。
CRP是AC中LOS延长最可靠的独立实验室预测指标。胆管结石和Mirizzi综合征的存在进一步导致住院时间延长。这些因素应在早期临床风险评估中予以考虑。