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人工智能应用对农业绿色发展的影响研究。

Research on the impact of artificial intelligence applications on agricultural green development.

作者信息

Han Shuang, Sun Xianmin

机构信息

School of Economics, Harbin University of Commerce, Harbin, 150028, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Aug 18;15(1):30255. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-12836-4.

Abstract

A good ecological environment represents the most inclusive form of people's well-being, and it is also the greatest advantage and precious asset in rural areas. Therefore, it is of great significance to accelerate the green development of agriculture. Against the backdrop of building livable, industrious, and harmonious countryside, this paper, based on the urban data of the Yangtze River Economic Belt in China from 2011 to 2023, conducts an empirical analysis of the spatial impact and action mechanism of artificial intelligence on the green development of agriculture. The results show that artificial intelligence significantly promotes the green development of agriculture, and this conclusion remains valid after a series of robustness tests. Meanwhile, it is verified that artificial intelligence also has an impact on the green development of agriculture in neighboring areas, indicating the existence of spatial spillover effects. From the perspective of production factors, further research reveals that "the level of human capital" and "the ability of technological innovation" have become important channels through which artificial intelligence drives the green development of agriculture. In addition, by introducing the level of financial support for agriculture, it is found that the positive impact of artificial intelligence features a non-linear decrease in the "marginal effect". The results of the heterogeneity analysis show that artificial intelligence promotes the green development of agriculture to a greater extent in major grain-producing areas and regions covered by the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, while its promoting effect in the northeastern region has not been prominent. This study not only helps to reveal the driving factors of the green development of agriculture in China in recent years, but also holds great significance for promoting the sustainable and stable green development of agriculture.

摘要

良好的生态环境是最普惠的民生福祉,也是农村最大的优势和宝贵财富。因此,加快农业绿色发展意义重大。在建设宜居宜业和美乡村的背景下,本文基于2011—2023年中国长江经济带的城市数据,对人工智能对农业绿色发展的空间影响及作用机制进行实证分析。结果表明,人工智能显著促进了农业绿色发展,且经过一系列稳健性检验后该结论依然成立。同时,验证了人工智能对邻近地区农业绿色发展也存在影响,即存在空间溢出效应。从生产要素角度进一步研究发现,“人力资本水平”和“技术创新能力”已成为人工智能驱动农业绿色发展的重要渠道。此外,通过引入农业财政支持水平,发现人工智能的正向影响呈现“边际效应”非线性递减。异质性分析结果表明,人工智能在粮食主产区和长江中下游地区对农业绿色发展的促进作用更大,而在东北地区其促进作用并不突出。本研究不仅有助于揭示近年来中国农业绿色发展的驱动因素,对推动农业可持续稳定绿色发展也具有重要意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bb2/12365095/9735c5ca9a5c/41598_2025_12836_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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