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国家背景对欧洲各地新冠疫苗犹豫情绪的影响:一种多层次方法

THE IMPACT OF NATIONAL CONTEXT ON COVID-19 VACCINE HESITANCY ACROSS EUROPE: A MULTI-LEVEL APPROACH.

作者信息

Bergmann Michael, Bethmann Arne, Hannemann Tessa-Virginia, Schumacher Alexander, Theodoropoulos Nikolaos

机构信息

SHARE Survey Methodology, SHARE Berlin Institute, Germany.

Hochschule für Technik und Wirtschaft des Saarlandes (htw saar), Germany.

出版信息

medRxiv. 2025 Aug 13:2025.08.11.25333435. doi: 10.1101/2025.08.11.25333435.

Abstract

This study investigates vaccine hesitancy among the 50+ population in Europe and Israel during the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on the role of national contexts alongside individual determinants. Utilizing data from the SHARE Corona Surveys (SCS1 and SCS2), the analysis includes over 48,000 respondents across 28 countries. The framework is guided by the WHO's Complacency, Convenience, and Confidence (3Cs) model to explore factors influencing vaccination intent. Complacency examines perceived risks and visibility of the virus's consequences, convenience evaluates accessibility and affordability of vaccines, and confidence assesses trust in vaccines, healthcare systems, and policymakers. Key findings suggest that higher COVID-19 mortality rates and stricter containment measures reduce complacency and increase vaccine uptake. Greater healthcare expenditure and Human Development Index (HDI) scores enhance convenience, leading to higher vaccination rates. Additionally, trust in governments and health authorities as well as in the vaccine itself predict confidence, shaping vaccination intent. The study reveals significant national disparities in vaccination attitudes and behaviours, linked to socio-economic factors and healthcare quality. By incorporating multivariate logistic regression models, the research highlights the interplay between individual and national factors, suggesting that successful vaccination campaigns require a holistic approach addressing both personal hesitations and systemic barriers. This research hence underscores the importance of public trust, robust healthcare systems, and targeted communication strategies to mitigate vaccine hesitancy and improve pandemic response outcomes.

摘要

本研究调查了新冠疫情期间欧洲和以色列50岁及以上人群中的疫苗犹豫情况,重点关注国家背景以及个体决定因素所起的作用。利用来自“健康、退休和老龄化纵向研究”新冠调查(SCS1和SCS2)的数据,分析涵盖了28个国家的48000多名受访者。该框架以世界卫生组织的自满、便利和信心(3C)模型为指导,以探究影响疫苗接种意愿的因素。自满考察对病毒后果的感知风险和可见性,便利评估疫苗的可及性和可承受性,信心评估对疫苗、医疗系统和政策制定者的信任。主要研究结果表明,更高的新冠死亡率和更严格的防控措施会降低自满情绪并提高疫苗接种率。更高的医疗支出和人类发展指数(HDI)得分会提升便利性,从而带来更高的疫苗接种率。此外,对政府、卫生当局以及疫苗本身的信任预示着信心,进而影响疫苗接种意愿。该研究揭示了疫苗接种态度和行为方面存在显著的国家差异,这些差异与社会经济因素和医疗质量有关。通过纳入多元逻辑回归模型,该研究突出了个体因素与国家因素之间的相互作用,表明成功的疫苗接种运动需要一种全面的方法,既要解决个人的犹豫,也要消除系统性障碍。因此,这项研究强调了公众信任、强大的医疗系统以及有针对性的沟通策略对于减轻疫苗犹豫和改善疫情应对结果的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18d8/12363742/240c7c415590/nihpp-2025.08.11.25333435v1-f0001.jpg

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