2022年乌干达苏丹埃博拉病毒病疫情病例负担及持续时间建模
Modeling Case Burden and Duration of Sudan Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak in Uganda, 2022.
作者信息
Bisanzio Donal, Bosa Henry Kyobe, Bakamutumaho Barnabas, Nasimiyu Carolyne, Atwine Diana, Kyabayinze Daniel, Olaro Charles, Breiman Robert F, Njenga M Kariuki, Mwebesa Henry, Aceng Jane Ruth, Reithinger Richard
出版信息
Emerg Infect Dis. 2025 Sep;31(9):1829-1832. doi: 10.3201/eid3109.241545.
PMID:40867064
Abstract
In 2022, a Sudan Ebola virus outbreak was confirmed in Uganda. Within 1 month of the outbreak's onset, we developed an individual-based modeling platform to estimate the unfolding outbreak's burden of cases and deaths, as well as its duration, using different scenarios. Modeled projections were within the range of observed cases.
摘要
2022年，乌干达确认发生了苏丹埃博拉病毒疫情。在疫情爆发后的1个月内，我们开发了一个基于个体的建模平台，以使用不同情景估计疫情的病例和死亡负担及其持续时间。建模预测结果在观察到的病例范围内。
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