Storm H H, Jensen O M, Ewertz M, Lynge E, Olsen J H, Schou G, Osterlind A
Natl Cancer Inst Monogr. 1985 Dec;68:411-30.
The risk of developing a second primary cancer was studied among 171,749 men and 208,192 women who were reported to the Danish Cancer Registry between 1943 and 1980. Only those who survived at least 2 months were included in the analysis, and more than 1.7 million person-years of observation were accrued. Altogether, 15,084 second primary cancers developed in organs other than the initial cancer site [relative risk (RR) = 0.99]. Adjustment for possible underreporting of multiple primary cancers increased the RR to 1.06. The overall RR of a second cancer developing for all sites was 0.91, but interpretation of this risk is difficult because new tumors arising within the same organ are generally not recorded in Denmark. The RR for all sites increased with time from 0.94 during the first decade of follow-up (excluding the first year) to 1.13 among 30-year survivors. Patients below the age of 20 years when first diagnosed with cancer experienced significantly increased risk of developing a second cancer. Elevated risks were also observed for sites thought to have a common etiology. For example, cancers of smoking-related sites were increased in both directions for cancers of the oral cavity, respiratory tract, and urinary organs. For cancers suspected to have a hormone- or dietary fat-related association, significant reciprocal relationships were seen among cancers of the endometrium, ovary, and colon. Cancer treatment probably is an important factor in second cancer development, even when judged indirectly in the present study. For example, radiotherapy may have been responsible for an elevated risk of subsequent cancers of the thyroid, breast, colon, rectum, bladder, connective tissue, and hematopoietic system in long-term survivors. Chemotherapy may have increased the risk of subsequent leukemias. Our data further indicate that cancer patients have no general susceptibility to develop new malignant tumors, although high rates may be found for particular sites sharing common risk factors. Conversely, the occurrence of one cancer does not appear to protect against developing a new cancer.
对1943年至1980年间向丹麦癌症登记处报告的171,749名男性和208,192名女性进行了研究,以探讨发生第二种原发性癌症的风险。分析中仅纳入了至少存活2个月的患者,累积观察超过170万人年。共有15,084例第二种原发性癌症发生在初始癌症部位以外的器官[相对风险(RR)=0.99]。对可能漏报的多原发性癌症进行校正后,RR增至1.06。所有部位发生第二种癌症的总体RR为0.91,但由于丹麦通常不记录同一器官内出现的新肿瘤,因此对该风险的解读较为困难。所有部位的RR随时间增加,从随访的第一个十年(不包括第一年)期间的0.94增至30年幸存者中的1.13。首次诊断为癌症时年龄在20岁以下的患者发生第二种癌症的风险显著增加。对于被认为具有共同病因的部位也观察到风险升高。例如,口腔、呼吸道和泌尿器官的吸烟相关癌症在两个方向上均有所增加。对于怀疑与激素或膳食脂肪相关的癌症,子宫内膜癌、卵巢癌和结肠癌之间存在显著反向关系。癌症治疗可能是发生第二种癌症的一个重要因素,即使在本研究中是间接判断。例如,放疗可能是长期幸存者中甲状腺、乳腺、结肠、直肠、膀胱、结缔组织和造血系统后续癌症风险升高的原因。化疗可能增加了后续白血病的风险。我们的数据进一步表明,癌症患者一般没有发生新恶性肿瘤的易感性,尽管对于具有共同风险因素的特定部位可能发现高发病率。相反,一种癌症的发生似乎并不能预防发生新的癌症。