Curtis R E, Boice J D, Kleinerman R A, Flannery J T, Fraumeni J F
Natl Cancer Inst Monogr. 1985 Dec;68:219-42.
The risk of developing a second primary cancer was evaluated in over 250,000 persons reported to the Connecticut Tumor Registry (CTR) during 1935-82. The CTR has collected data on cancer incidence longer than any other population-based tumor registry and thus provided researchers with a unique opportunity to investigate the occurrence of second cancers among persons followed for long periods, in some cases for more than 40 years. When compared with the general Connecticut population, cancer patients had a 31% increased risk of developing a subsequent cancer overall and a 23% elevated risk of second cancer at a different site from the first. Little variation in risk was seen for the first 20 years of follow-up, although the risk for females averaged twice that for males (41% vs. 18%). Persons who survived more than 20 years after the diagnosis of their first cancer were at highest risk: 51% for females and 45% for males. Over 1 million person-years of observation were recorded, and the excess risk of developing a new cancer was 3.5 per 1,000 persons per year. Common environmental exposures seemed responsible for the excess occurrence of many second cancers, particularly those related to cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, or both. For example, persons with epithelial cancers of the lung, larynx, esophagus, buccal cavity, and pharynx were particularly prone to developing new cancers in the same or contiguous tissue throughout their lifetimes. A notable finding was the high risk of cancers of the lung, larynx, buccal cavity, and pharynx observed among cervical cancer patients, which suggested a common etiology involving cigarette smoking. The intriguing association previously reported among cancers of the colon, uterine corpus, breast, and ovary was confirmed in our data, which indicated the possible influence of hormonal or dietary factors. Incidental autopsy findings were largely responsible for the observed excesses of second cancers of the prostate and kidney, and heightened medical surveillance of cancer patients likely resulted in ascertainment bias and elevated risks for some tumors during the early period of follow-up, most notably cancers of the thyroid. Interestingly, patients with prostate cancer were the only ones found to be at significantly low risk for second cancer development. However, this might be an artifact of case-finding because advanced age at initial diagnosis of prostate cancer was associated with an underascertainment of second cancers.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
对1935年至1982年期间向康涅狄格肿瘤登记处(CTR)报告的25万多人患第二种原发性癌症的风险进行了评估。CTR收集癌症发病率数据的时间比任何其他基于人群的肿瘤登记处都长,因此为研究人员提供了一个独特的机会,来调查长期随访人群中第二种癌症的发生情况,在某些情况下随访时间超过40年。与康涅狄格州普通人群相比,癌症患者患后续癌症的总体风险增加了31%,在与首次癌症不同部位患第二种癌症的风险增加了23%。在随访的前20年中,风险变化不大,尽管女性的风险平均是男性的两倍(41%对18%)。在首次癌症诊断后存活超过20年的人风险最高:女性为51%,男性为45%。记录了超过100万人年的观察数据,每年每1000人中新发癌症的额外风险为3.5例。常见的环境暴露似乎是许多第二种癌症额外发生的原因,特别是那些与吸烟、饮酒或两者都有关的癌症。例如,患有肺癌、喉癌、食管癌、口腔癌和咽癌的人在其一生中特别容易在相同或相邻组织中发生新的癌症。一个值得注意的发现是,宫颈癌患者中观察到患肺癌、喉癌、口腔癌和咽癌的风险很高,这表明存在涉及吸烟的共同病因。我们的数据证实了先前报道的结肠癌、子宫体癌、乳腺癌和卵巢癌之间有趣的关联,这表明激素或饮食因素可能产生影响。偶然的尸检结果在很大程度上导致了观察到的前列腺癌和肾癌第二种癌症的超额发生,对癌症患者加强医疗监测可能导致随访早期某些肿瘤的确诊偏倚和风险升高,最明显的是甲状腺癌。有趣的是,前列腺癌患者是唯一被发现患第二种癌症风险显著较低的人群。然而,这可能是病例发现的一种假象,因为前列腺癌初次诊断时的高龄与第二种癌症确诊不足有关。(摘要截断于400字)