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农村消费动力系统耦合协调对我国农村居民消费的影响研究

Research on the impact of coupling and coordination of rural consumption power system on the consumption of rural residents in China.

作者信息

Tian Zhen, Wang Rui, Tan Yan, Chen Zhaoqin

机构信息

Business school, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, China.

Institute of Food and Strategic Reserves, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Sep 2;20(9):e0329085. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0329085. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

The harmonious operation of social consumption power system can stimulate residents' higher-level consumption demands, thereby driving overall consumption growth. Based on the panel data of 30 Chinese provinces (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, and Tibet) from 2002 to 2022, this study integrates multiple determinants of rural residents' consumption into the conceptual framework of social consumption power. Employing a systematic approach, we construct a spatial Durbin model to empirically examine how the coupling coordination level of the rural consumption power system influences rural residents' consumption behavior. The findings reveal that the coupling coordination level of rural consumption power system exerts a statistically significant positive effect on rural residents' consumption not only within a given province but also in neighboring provinces, indicating spatial spillover effects. These spillover effects are particularly pronounced in the eastern and central regions. Therefore, in order to release the huge consumption potential in rural areas, it's vital to make good use of the coupling and coordinating role of the three subsystems of consumption subject, consumption object and consumption environment and achieve the fit and coordination between supply-side structural reform and demand-side structural reform. The research findings not only provide factual evidences and theoretical support for transforming the government's strategy of expanding rural residents' consumption but also propose practical instructions for further releasing rural residents' consumption potential in the new era.

摘要

社会消费动力系统的协调运行能够激发居民更高层次的消费需求,从而带动整体消费增长。基于2002年至2022年中国30个省份(不包括香港、澳门、台湾和西藏)的面板数据,本研究将农村居民消费的多个决定因素纳入社会消费动力的概念框架。我们采用系统方法构建空间杜宾模型,以实证检验农村消费动力系统的耦合协调水平如何影响农村居民的消费行为。研究结果表明,农村消费动力系统的耦合协调水平不仅对本省农村居民消费有显著的正向影响,对相邻省份也有显著的正向影响,存在空间溢出效应。这些溢出效应在东部和中部地区尤为明显。因此,为释放农村地区巨大的消费潜力,充分发挥消费主体、消费客体和消费环境三个子系统的耦合协调作用,实现供给侧结构性改革与需求侧结构性改革的适配与协调至关重要。研究结果不仅为转变政府扩大农村居民消费的战略提供了事实依据和理论支持,也为新时代进一步释放农村居民消费潜力提出了实践指导。

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