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Global, regional, and national burden of ischemic heart disease attributable to lead exposure, 1990-2021: decomposition, frontier, and projection analysis.

作者信息

Wen Xinyue, Qiao Lichun, Deng Feidan, Zhou Jingxuan, Li Miaoqian, Wang Lin, Deng Huan, Amhare Abebe Feyissa, Han Jing, Guo Yijie

机构信息

Department of Psychiatry, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi An, Shaanxi, China.

School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi An, Shaanxi, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2025 Aug 18;13:1567747. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1567747. eCollection 2025.


DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2025.1567747
PMID:40900697
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12399670/
Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) is a leading global health burden, with lead exposure identified as a significant environment risk factor contributing to its prevalence. METHODS: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 were used to analyze deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of IHD due to lead exposure at global, regional, and national levels. Decomposition analysis, frontier analysis, and Bayesian age-period cohort (BAPC) models were applied to assess trends from 1990 to 2021. RESULTS: In 2021, deaths and DALYs attributable to lead exposure reached 590,370.03 and 11,854,611.43, respectively, though age-standardized rates (ASRs) declined. Males and the older adult exhibited higher ASRs. At regional level, South Asia had the highest number of deaths and DALYs, while North Africa and the Middle East had the highest ASRs. Certain countries showed increasing ASRs over time, with a negative correlation between socio-demographic index (SDI) and ASRs. Decomposition analysis identified that population growth as the primary driver of increasing deaths and DALYs, particularly in middle-SDI regions. Frontier analysis suggested that middle and low-SDI regions have the greater potential to reduce the IHD burden. BAPC projections indicated a global decrease in IHD burden due to lead exposure by 2050. CONCLUSIONS: The burden remains disproportionately high in males, the older adult and low- and middle-SDI regions, highlighting the need for targeted prevention and lead exposure control efforts in these populations.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/83a45466d620/fpubh-13-1567747-g0009.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/7ba3c986a83d/fpubh-13-1567747-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/ef8df6c41f33/fpubh-13-1567747-g0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/328d016677eb/fpubh-13-1567747-g0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/7fc1709353b2/fpubh-13-1567747-g0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/563ba0cd86d6/fpubh-13-1567747-g0005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/4aaf63d44a3c/fpubh-13-1567747-g0006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/3be318728f02/fpubh-13-1567747-g0007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/08736e88c484/fpubh-13-1567747-g0008.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/83a45466d620/fpubh-13-1567747-g0009.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/7ba3c986a83d/fpubh-13-1567747-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/ef8df6c41f33/fpubh-13-1567747-g0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/328d016677eb/fpubh-13-1567747-g0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/7fc1709353b2/fpubh-13-1567747-g0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/563ba0cd86d6/fpubh-13-1567747-g0005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/4aaf63d44a3c/fpubh-13-1567747-g0006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/3be318728f02/fpubh-13-1567747-g0007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/08736e88c484/fpubh-13-1567747-g0008.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0d6/12399670/83a45466d620/fpubh-13-1567747-g0009.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Global and regional trends in the burden of surgically confirmed endometriosis from 1990 to 2021.

Reprod Biol Endocrinol. 2025-6-7

[2]
Burden, risk factors, and projections of ischemic heart disease in China (1990-2021): findings from the 2021 GBD study.

Front Cardiovasc Med. 2025-2-26

[3]
Global, Regional, and National Burden of Ischemic Heart Disease Attributable to 25 Risk Factors and Their Summary Exposure Value Across 204 Countries With Different Socio-Demographic Index Levels, 1990-2021: A Systematic Fixed-Effects Analysis and Comparative Study.

Clin Epidemiol. 2025-2-20

[4]
Disease burden of ischemic heart disease attributable to lead exposure in China from 1990 to 2019, and projections until 2030.

Int J Environ Health Res. 2025-2-8

[5]
Silent threats of lead-based paints in toys and households to children's health and development.

J Hazard Mater. 2025-3-15

[6]
Unraveling the enigma of cardiac damage caused by lead: Understanding the intricate relationship between oxidative stress and other multifactorial mechanisms.

Toxicology. 2024-12

[7]
Temporal trends of thyroid cancer in China and globally from 1990 to 2021: an analysis of the global burden of Disease Study 2021.

Sci Rep. 2024-10-26

[8]
The global, regional, and national patterns of change in the burden of congenital birth defects, 1990-2021: an analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021 and forecast to 2040.

EClinicalMedicine. 2024-10-4

[9]
Evaluating metal cookware as a source of lead exposure.

J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol. 2025-5

[10]
Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

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