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一项促进结肠镜检查完成的拼车计划的模拟成本效益分析。

Modeled Cost-Effectiveness of a Rideshare Program to Facilitate Colonoscopy Completion.

作者信息

Issaka Rachel B, Matrajt Laura, de Lima Pedro Nascimento, Rutter Carolyn M

机构信息

Public Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington.

Hutchinson Institute for Cancer Outcomes Research, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington.

出版信息

JAMA Netw Open. 2025 Sep 2;8(9):e2530515. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.30515.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

In colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, too many patients fail to receive follow-up colonoscopy after an abnormal fecal immunochemical test (FIT), and transportation is a frequently reported barrier.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the outcomes and cost-effectiveness of providing a rideshare intervention to patients with abnormal FIT results.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The CRC-Simulated Population Model for Incidence and Natural History microsimulation model was used to simulate the outcomes and cost-effectiveness of a rideshare intervention to improve colonoscopy completion in a population-based CRC screening program. Cohorts were adherent to annual FIT-based screening; baseline analyses assumed that 35% would complete a follow-up colonoscopy. Data were analyzed from November 14, 2023, to July 8, 2025.

INTERVENTION

A $40 or $100 rideshare to increase completion of follow-up colonoscopy.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Lifetime outcomes included the number of CRC cases, deaths, and life-years gained (LYG) per 1000 people screened and costs associated with improved completion of a colonoscopy after an abnormal FIT result.

RESULTS

Four single-age cohorts (ages 45, 55, 65, and 70 years on January 1, 2024) of 10 million people each were simulated. In cohorts with similar sex distribution as the US population (aged 45 years, 50.0% male; aged 55 years, 49.4% male); aged 65 years, 48.0% male; and aged 70 years, 46.9% male), compared with no intervention, using a rideshare intervention starting at age 45 years that costs $100 per ride to increase colonoscopy completion from 35% to 70% was associated with a reduction in CRC cases per 1000 by 26.3% (30.7 vs 41.6 cases per 1000), CRC deaths per 1000 by 32.5% (9.8 vs 14.6 cases per 1000), 24.9 LYG per 1000, and at $100 per ride cost $43 308 per 1000 people screened and saved $330 587 per 1000 people screened.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In a microsimulation model, increasing colonoscopy completion in a population with abnormal FIT results via a rideshare intervention was cost saving up to $100 per ride due to the combined outcome of cancer prevention and early detection.

摘要

重要性

在结直肠癌(CRC)筛查中,太多患者在粪便免疫化学检测(FIT)结果异常后未能接受后续结肠镜检查,而交通问题是经常被提及的障碍。

目的

确定为FIT结果异常的患者提供拼车干预措施的效果和成本效益。

设计、地点和参与者:使用结直肠癌发病率和自然史模拟模型(CRC-Simulated Population Model for Incidence and Natural History)这一微观模拟模型,来模拟在基于人群的CRC筛查项目中,拼车干预措施对提高结肠镜检查完成率的效果和成本效益。队列遵循基于年度FIT的筛查;基线分析假设35%的人会完成后续结肠镜检查。数据于2023年11月14日至至2025年7月8日进行分析。

干预措施

提供40美元或100美元的拼车服务以提高后续结肠镜检查的完成率。

主要结局和衡量指标

终身结局包括每1000名接受筛查的人中结直肠癌病例数、死亡数和获得的生命年数(LYG),以及FIT结果异常后改善结肠镜检查完成率相关的成本。

结果

模拟了四个单年龄队列(2024年1月1日时年龄分别为45、55、65和70岁),每个队列1000万人。在性别分布与美国人群相似的队列中(45岁时,男性占50.0%;55岁时,男性占49.4%;65岁时,男性占48.0%;70岁时,男性占46.9%),与不进行干预相比,从45岁开始使用每次花费100美元的拼车干预措施,将结肠镜检查完成率从35%提高到70%,每1000人中结直肠癌病例数减少26.3%(从每1000人41.6例降至30.7例),每1000人中结直肠癌死亡数减少32.5%(从每1000人14.6例降至9.8例),每1000人获得24.9个生命年,每次花费100美元时,每1000名接受筛查的人成本为43308美元,每1000名接受筛查的人节省330587美元。

结论和意义

在微观模拟模型中,通过拼车干预措施提高FIT结果异常人群的结肠镜检查完成率,由于癌症预防和早期检测的综合结果,每次拼车成本节省高达100美元。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/344a/12411970/136515e4c8d0/jamanetwopen-e2530515-g001.jpg

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