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基于《2021年全球疾病负担研究》的1990年至2021年全球、区域和国家青少年及青年成人中五种主要消化系统癌症的负担:一项横断面研究。

Global, regional, and national burdens of five main digestive system cancers in adolescents and young adults from 1990 to 2021 based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021: A cross-sectional study.

作者信息

Zhu Mengjia, Wang Xinjie, Zhang Dian, Chen Angli, Hu Weiling

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Medical School, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.

Shaoxing University School of Medicine, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Sep 10;20(9):e0329377. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0329377. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the burden and trends of digestive system cancers in adolescents and young adults (AYAs) globally between 1990 and 2021.

METHODS

Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (1990-2021). We analyzed global, regional, and national disease burdens by calculating the age-standardized incidence (ASIR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for AYAs. Joinpoint regression calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) in incidence, mortality, and DALYs for digestive system cancers in the AYAs. Decomposition analysis illustrate the impact of epidemiological changes, population growth, and population aging on the disease burden.

RESULTS

Globally, the ASIR (AAPC: 0.37) of AYAs with colorectal cancer (CRC) showed an increasing trend, whereas the ASIR of AYAs with esophageal cancer (EC), gastric cancer (GC), pancreatic cancer (PC), and liver cancer (LC) showed a decreasing trend. The ASMR and age-standardized rates (ASR) of DALYs for all five types of digestive system cancers in AYAs also showed a decreasing trend. By gender, the ASIR for males has increased with an AAPC of 0.84. For the other four types of digestive system cancers in AYAs, both males and females showed a decreasing trend. For AYAs with CRC, the fastest increase in ASIR (AAPC: 0.73) was observed in the 30-34 age group. Regarding SDI regions, we found that the ASIR of AYAs with CRC increased in all five Social Demographic Index (SDI) regions. For AYAs with PC, the burden was increased in low and low-middle SDI. In the AYAs with LC, the ASIR also increased in low-middle SDI. For AYAs with EC and GC, both showed a decreasing trend across all five SDI regions.

CONCLUSION

The study results provide insights into the global distribution and severity of the burden of digestive system cancers among AYAs. The burden of AYAs with CRC is rapidly increasing worldwide, particularly among males, those aged 30-34, and in high-middle SDI. The disease burden varies across different SDI regions. These findings highlight the need for targeted preventive measures and suggest adjusting CRC screening guidelines.

摘要

目的

评估1990年至2021年全球青少年和青年(AYA)消化系统癌症的负担及趋势。

方法

数据取自全球疾病、伤害及风险因素研究(1990 - 2021)。我们通过计算AYA的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、死亡率(ASMR)和伤残调整生命年(DALY)来分析全球、区域和国家的疾病负担。Joinpoint回归计算AYA消化系统癌症发病率、死亡率和DALY的年均变化百分比(AAPC)。分解分析阐明了流行病学变化、人口增长和人口老龄化对疾病负担的影响。

结果

全球范围内,患结直肠癌(CRC)的AYA的ASIR(AAPC:0.37)呈上升趋势,而患食管癌(EC)、胃癌(GC)、胰腺癌(PC)和肝癌(LC)的AYA的ASIR呈下降趋势。AYA中所有五种消化系统癌症的ASMR和DALY的年龄标准化率(ASR)也呈下降趋势。按性别划分,男性的ASIR有所上升,AAPC为0.84。对于AYA中的其他四种消化系统癌症,男性和女性均呈下降趋势。对于患CRC的AYA,在30 - 34岁年龄组中观察到ASIR上升最快(AAPC:0.73)。关于社会人口指数(SDI)区域,我们发现患CRC的AYA的ASIR在所有五个社会人口指数(SDI)区域均有所上升。对于患PC的AYA,低SDI和中低SDI地区的负担增加。对于患LC的AYA,中低SDI地区的ASIR也有所上升。对于患EC和GC的AYA,在所有五个SDI区域均呈下降趋势。

结论

研究结果为AYA消化系统癌症负担的全球分布和严重程度提供了见解。全球范围内,患CRC的AYA的负担正在迅速增加,尤其是在男性、30 - 34岁人群以及高中低SDI地区。不同SDI区域的疾病负担各不相同。这些发现凸显了采取针对性预防措施的必要性,并建议调整CRC筛查指南。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c4c0/12422433/3c3799aaf309/pone.0329377.g001.jpg

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