Gandjour Afschin
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, Frankfurt, Germany.
PLoS One. 2025 Sep 12;20(9):e0331176. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0331176. eCollection 2025.
The German Federal Ministry of Health aims to improve cardiovascular health by expanding statin eligibility. However, the shift in funding from lifestyle-based preventive programs to statins has raised concerns that existing prevention efforts could be undermined. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of statins compared with lifestyle interventions for the prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Germany under constrained healthcare budgets.
A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted using secondary data. Effectiveness data for statins were drawn from meta-analyses and systematic reviews, showing a 26% reduction in major cardiovascular events. Lifestyle intervention data were derived from the US Preventive Services Task Force (2020), reporting a relative risk of 0.80 for CVD events. A z-score test compared the effectiveness, while a Bayesian analysis assessed the probability of statins being more effective. Costs were analyzed from the perspective of German statutory health insurance (SHI) enrollees, including copayments and treatment monitoring expenses.
The z-score of -1.26 (p = 0.207) indicated no statistically significant difference in the effectiveness of statins compared to lifestyle interventions. However, Bayesian analysis estimated an 89.7% probability that statins are more effective. Statins were generally cheaper, especially when preventive courses are repeated annually.
Statins likely offer higher cost-effectiveness than lifestyle changes, though the difference in benefits is not statistically significant. Concerns about reallocating funds from lifestyle programs to statins are somewhat mitigated by these findings.
德国联邦卫生部旨在通过扩大他汀类药物的适用范围来改善心血管健康。然而,资金从基于生活方式的预防项目转向他汀类药物引发了人们对现有预防措施可能受到破坏的担忧。本研究评估了在医疗保健预算有限的情况下,与生活方式干预相比,他汀类药物在德国预防心血管疾病(CVD)的成本效益。
使用二手数据进行成本效益分析。他汀类药物的有效性数据来自荟萃分析和系统评价,显示主要心血管事件减少了26%。生活方式干预数据来自美国预防服务工作组(2020年),报告心血管疾病事件的相对风险为0.80。采用z分数检验比较有效性,同时进行贝叶斯分析评估他汀类药物更有效的概率。从德国法定医疗保险(SHI)参保人的角度分析成本,包括自付费用和治疗监测费用。
z分数为-1.26(p = 0.207)表明,与生活方式干预相比,他汀类药物的有效性没有统计学上的显著差异。然而,贝叶斯分析估计他汀类药物更有效的概率为89.7%。他汀类药物通常更便宜,尤其是每年重复预防性疗程时。
他汀类药物可能比生活方式改变具有更高的成本效益,尽管益处的差异在统计学上并不显著。这些发现多少减轻了对从生活方式项目重新分配资金到他汀类药物的担忧。