Capurso Cristiano, Lo Buglio Aurelio, Bellanti Francesco, Serviddio Gaetano
Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Viale Luigi Pinto 1, 71122 Foggia, Italy.
Nutrients. 2025 Sep 8;17(17):2907. doi: 10.3390/nu17172907.
Malnutrition and systemic inflammation are major determinants of poor outcomes in hospitalized older adults, such as length of hospital stay (LOS), mortality, and readmission risk. The C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CRP/Alb) and the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) are simple biomarkers reflecting inflammation and nutritional status. Additionally, the PNI offers a straightforward method to assess both the nutritional state and mortality risk in older patients. The objective of this study was to compare the predictive accuracy of the CRP/Alb ratio and PNI for early in-hospital mortality at 7 and 30 days after admission in older patients, independent of admitting diagnosis. We retrospectively analyzed 2776 patients aged 65 years and older, admitted to the Internal Medicine and Aging Unit of the "Policlinico Riuniti" University Hospital in Foggia, Italy, between 2019 and 2025. Laboratory data at admission included CRP, albumin, and total lymphocyte count (TLC). The CRP/Alb ratio and PNI were calculated. Prognostic performance for 7- and 30-day mortality for both the CRP/Alb ratio and PNI was assessed using ROC curves, Cox regression, Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, and positive predictive value (PPV) comparisons, stratified by rehospitalization status and length of stay (LOS). The likelihood-ratio test was also performed to compare the 7- and 30-day mortality PPVs of the CRP/Alb ratio and the PNI, both for all patients and for re-hospitalized patients. In-hospital mortality occurred in 444 patients (16%). Deceased patients showed significantly higher CRP/Alb ratios and lower PNI values than survivors ( < 0.001). Both the CRP/Alb ratio and PNI independently predicted 7- and 30-day mortality. A CRP/Alb ratio > 8 strongly predicted very early mortality (HR 10.46 for 7-day death), whereas a PNI < 38 predicted both 7- and 30-day mortality (HR 8.84 and HR 3.54, respectively). Among non-rehospitalized patients, the PNI demonstrated superior predictive performance regardless of LOS ( < 0.001). Among rehospitalized patients, the PNI was a more accurate predictor for short LOS (<7 days), while the CRP/Alb ratio performed better for longer LOS (≥7 days). Both the CRP/Alb ratio and PNI are inexpensive, readily available biomarkers for early risk stratification in hospitalized older adults. The CRP/Alb ratio is particularly effective in detecting very early mortality risk, while the PNI offers refined prognostic value across selected subgroups. Integrating these markers at admission may support personalized geriatric care and timely interventions.
营养不良和全身炎症是老年住院患者预后不良的主要决定因素,如住院时间(LOS)、死亡率和再入院风险。C反应蛋白与白蛋白比值(CRP/Alb)和预后营养指数(PNI)是反映炎症和营养状况的简单生物标志物。此外,PNI提供了一种直接的方法来评估老年患者的营养状态和死亡风险。本研究的目的是比较CRP/Alb比值和PNI对老年患者入院后7天和30天内早期院内死亡的预测准确性,不受入院诊断的影响。我们回顾性分析了2019年至2025年期间入住意大利福贾“Policlinico Riuniti”大学医院内科和老年科的2776例65岁及以上患者。入院时的实验室数据包括CRP、白蛋白和总淋巴细胞计数(TLC)。计算CRP/Alb比值和PNI。使用ROC曲线、Cox回归、Kaplan-Meier生存分析和阳性预测值(PPV)比较评估CRP/Alb比值和PNI对7天和30天死亡率的预后性能,并按再住院状态和住院时间(LOS)分层。还进行了似然比检验,以比较CRP/Alb比值和PNI对所有患者和再住院患者的7天和30天死亡率PPV。444例患者(16%)发生院内死亡。死亡患者的CRP/Alb比值显著高于幸存者,PNI值显著低于幸存者(<0.001)。CRP/Alb比值和PNI均独立预测7天和30天死亡率。CRP/Alb比值>8强烈预测极早期死亡率(7天死亡的HR为10.46),而PNI<38预测7天和30天死亡率(HR分别为8.84和3.54)。在未再住院的患者中,无论住院时间长短,PNI均表现出更好的预测性能(<0.001)。在再住院患者中,PNI对短住院时间(<7天)是更准确的预测指标,而CRP/Alb比值对长住院时间(≥7天)表现更好。CRP/Alb比值和PNI都是用于老年住院患者早期风险分层的廉价且易于获得的生物标志物。CRP/Alb比值在检测极早期死亡风险方面特别有效,而PNI在选定亚组中提供了更精确的预后价值。入院时整合这些标志物可能有助于个性化老年护理和及时干预。