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马里兰州城市、郊区和农村邮政编码区域极端风险保护令使用情况的差异:一项描述性研究

Variation in Extreme Risk Protection Order Use Among Urban, Suburban, and Rural ZIP Codes in Maryland: A Descriptive Study.

作者信息

Aassar Mia, Omaki Elise, Geller Lisa, Zeoli April M, Frattaroli Shannon

机构信息

Johns Hopkins Department of Health Policy and Management, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Violence Solutions, Washington, DC, USA.

出版信息

Inquiry. 2025 Jan-Dec;62:469580251370930. doi: 10.1177/00469580251370930. Epub 2025 Sep 15.

Abstract

Extreme Risk Protection Orders (ERPOs) are a tool used to temporarily remove access to firearms from those who may pose a risk of violence to themselves or others. Little research on ERPOs has examined variation in use of the law between urban and rural jurisdictions. Data abstracted from Maryland ERPO casefiles between October 2018 and June 2020 were paired with ZIP code-level Rural Area Commuting Area codes and American Community Survey population data. Rate of ERPO use was tabulated for 3 urbanicity categories (urban, suburban, and rural). Chi-squared and 1-way ANOVA tests were used to determine between-urbanicity variation in respondent characteristics, precipitating threat, petitioner type, and court outcomes. Univariate logistic regression supplemented these analyses when a statistically significant difference was evident. The observed rate of ERPO use was 1% higher in rural areas and 66% higher in suburban areas than urban areas. Racial demographics of respondents appeared to reflect underlying distributions of race in each urbanicity category. The types of threats precipitating ERPOs were overall similar, although suicide attempts were more common in non-urban petitions and interpersonal violent threats were most common in urban petitions. Family members and minors were more frequent targets of violence in the events precipitating rural petitions compared with non-rural petitions. Law enforcement officers were over twice as likely to petition in rural areas than in suburban or urban areas. Interim hearings occurred more frequently in suburban and rural areas than urban areas (although this result was not statistically significant for rural petitions). ERPOs are used in urban, suburban, and rural areas to address largely similar forms of violence. While the rate of ERPO use is higher in less urban areas, civilians comprise a smaller proportion of rural petitioners than urban or suburban petitions. Implications for implementation practice and further research are discussed.

摘要

极端风险保护令(ERPOs)是一种用于暂时剥夺那些可能对自己或他人构成暴力风险的人获取枪支的工具。关于极端风险保护令的研究很少考察城市和农村司法管辖区在法律使用上的差异。从2018年10月至2020年6月的马里兰州极端风险保护令案件档案中提取的数据,与邮政编码级别的农村地区通勤区号以及美国社区调查人口数据进行了配对。按3种城市化类别(城市、郊区和农村)列出了极端风险保护令的使用比率。使用卡方检验和单因素方差分析来确定城市化之间在受访者特征、引发威胁的因素、申请人类型和法庭结果方面的差异。当存在统计学上的显著差异时,使用单变量逻辑回归对这些分析进行补充。观察到的极端风险保护令使用率在农村地区比城市地区高1%,在郊区比城市地区高66%。受访者的种族人口统计数据似乎反映了每个城市化类别中种族的基本分布情况。引发极端风险保护令的威胁类型总体相似,尽管自杀未遂在非城市申请中更为常见,而人际暴力威胁在城市申请中最为常见。与非农村申请相比,在引发农村申请的事件中,家庭成员和未成年人成为暴力侵害目标的情况更为频繁。执法人员在农村地区提出申请的可能性是郊区或城市地区的两倍多。临时听证会在郊区和农村地区比城市地区更频繁地举行(尽管这一结果在农村申请中没有统计学意义)。极端风险保护令在城市、郊区和农村地区用于处理大致相似形式的暴力行为。虽然在城市化程度较低的地区极端风险保护令的使用率较高,但农村申请人中平民所占比例比城市或郊区申请中的平民比例要小。文中讨论了对实施实践和进一步研究的启示。

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