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1990 - 2023年慢性呼吸道疾病的全球、区域和国家负担以及2019冠状病毒病大流行的影响:一项全球疾病负担研究

Global, regional, and national burden of chronic respiratory diseases and impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, 1990-2023: a Global Burden of Disease study.

作者信息

Oh Jiyeon, Kim Soeun, Yim Yesol, Kim Min Seo, Hay Simon I, Il Shin Jae, Yon Dong Keon

机构信息

Department of Medicine, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.

Center for Digital Health, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.

出版信息

Nat Med. 2026 Jan;32(1):197-223. doi: 10.1038/s41591-025-04077-9. Epub 2026 Jan 6.

Abstract

Chronic respiratory diseases, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, pneumoconiosis, interstitial lung disease (ILD) and pulmonary sarcoidosis, are major global causes of mortality and morbidity. Although the COVID-19 pandemic has influenced acute respiratory health, its impact on chronic respiratory conditions remains unclear. We estimated the global, regional and national burden of chronic respiratory diseases from 1990 to 2023, including risk factors, and evaluated how these burdens have shifted during the COVID-19 pandemic using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023. In 2023, chronic respiratory diseases accounted for 569.2 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI), 508.8-639.8) cases and 4.2 million (3.6-5.1) deaths. The age-standardized death rate declined by 25.7% globally from 1990 to 2023 despite an increase in ILD and pulmonary sarcoidosis. Mortality declined in younger males, especially for asthma, whereas older adults experienced a rise in ILD and pulmonary sarcoidosis. Smoking was the primary risk factor for COPD, whereas high body mass index and silica exposure were key risk factors for asthma and pneumoconiosis. During the pandemic, the incidence of chronic respiratory diseases increased modestly, but the decline in mortality rates became more pronounced, highlighting the need for sustained global attention and action to address their long-term burden.

摘要

慢性呼吸道疾病,包括慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)、哮喘、尘肺病、间质性肺疾病(ILD)和肺结节病,是全球死亡和发病的主要原因。尽管新冠疫情对急性呼吸道健康产生了影响,但其对慢性呼吸道疾病的影响仍不明确。我们利用《2023年全球疾病负担研究》估算了1990年至2023年全球、区域和国家层面慢性呼吸道疾病的负担,包括风险因素,并评估了在新冠疫情期间这些负担是如何变化的。2023年,慢性呼吸道疾病导致5.692亿例(95%不确定区间(UI),5.088 - 6.398亿例)病例和420万例(360 - 510万例)死亡。尽管ILD和肺结节病有所增加,但从1990年到2023年,全球年龄标准化死亡率下降了25.7%。年轻男性的死亡率下降,尤其是哮喘患者,而老年人的ILD和肺结节病发病率有所上升。吸烟是COPD的主要风险因素,而高体重指数和接触二氧化硅是哮喘和尘肺病的关键风险因素。在疫情期间,慢性呼吸道疾病的发病率略有上升,但死亡率的下降变得更加明显,这凸显了全球需要持续关注并采取行动来应对其长期负担。

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