Martin S W, Gerrow A F
Can J Comp Med. 1978 Jan;42(1):16-22.
Data on farm characteristics and the results of the first herd test for brucellosis were collected for 74 reactor and 74 negative herds in Wellington County, Ontario. Each reactor herd was classified as either probably infected or probably not infected using the occurrence of abortions prior to the first herd test or during the testing period, the total number of cattle removed and/or the spread of reactors within the herd as criteria of infection. Statistical techniques were used to select variables which were good "discriminators" between probably infected and noninfected herds. In general, reactor herds were primarily dairy herds and were somewhat larger than negative herds. The presence of only single suspicious reactors on the first test appeared to be a good predictor of lack of infection with Brucella abortus. Among the 37 farms in this category the single reactor was removed from only eight farms and no evidence o fthe spread of infection was observed. The presence of one or more positive reactors on the first herd test appeared to be a good predictor of the presence of infection. Of the 24 farms in this category, evidence of the spread of infection was present in ten farms and seven of these ten farms were eventually depopulated. The brucella milk ring test appeared to be the most effective means of identifying infected herds under the conditions present in Wellington County.
收集了安大略省惠灵顿县74个感染牛群和74个阴性牛群的农场特征数据以及首次布氏杆菌病牛群检测结果。每个感染牛群根据首次牛群检测前或检测期间流产的发生情况、被移除牛的总数和/或牛群中感染牛的传播情况,被分类为可能感染或可能未感染,以此作为感染标准。运用统计技术来选择那些能很好地区分可能感染牛群和未感染牛群的变量。总体而言,感染牛群主要是奶牛群,且规模比阴性牛群稍大。首次检测时仅出现单个可疑感染牛似乎是未感染布鲁氏菌流产亚种的良好预测指标。在这一类别的37个农场中,仅8个农场移除了单个感染牛,且未观察到感染传播的迹象。首次牛群检测时出现一个或多个阳性感染牛似乎是存在感染的良好预测指标。在这一类别的24个农场中,10个农场有感染传播的迹象,其中7个农场最终被清空。在惠灵顿县当时的条件下,布鲁氏杆菌乳汁环状试验似乎是识别感染牛群最有效的方法。