Klauber M R, Angulo J J
J Hyg (Lond). 1974 Apr;72(2):281-8. doi: 10.1017/s0022172400023494.
Space-time interaction analysis was applied to data from 101 elementary school children who contracted variola minor during an epidemic in Bragança Paulista County, Brazil. One school had two and the other three shifts of students occupying the same classrooms each day. There was no evidence found for excessive numbers of cases to occur among unvaccinated students occupying the same desks or seated near the desks occupied by cases occurring during another shift. Only three cases occurred among the 31 unvaccinated students occupying desks of students with variola from other shifts. Only one of these three subsequent cases occurred at a time interval suggestive of transmission. For the three models tested there was no evidence of space-time interaction between time of onset of the disease and location of desk for pairs of students from different shifts.
时空交互分析应用于巴西布拉干萨保利斯塔县一次疫情期间感染轻型天花的101名小学生的数据。一所学校有两班,另一所学校每天有三班学生占用相同的教室。没有证据表明,在未接种疫苗的学生中,占用同一课桌或坐在另一班次病例所坐课桌附近的学生中出现了过多病例。在占用其他班次天花患者课桌的31名未接种疫苗的学生中,仅出现了3例。这3例后续病例中只有1例发生在提示有传播的时间间隔内。对于所测试的三个模型,没有证据表明不同班次学生的发病时间与课桌位置之间存在时空交互作用。