Leff J P
Br Med J. 1973 Oct 20;4(5885):156-8. doi: 10.1136/bmj.4.5885.156.
The hypothesis is advanced that any population of patients can be divided into those with a good prognosis, a poor prognosis, and an intermediate prognosis in respect to a particular treatment. The outcome of a clinical trial of treatment will be partly determined by the proportion of patients selected for the trial from each of these prognostic groups. The implications of the hypothesis are illustrated by consideration of three recent trials of treatment for psychiatric patients.
有一种假设认为,对于某种特定治疗而言,任何患者群体都可分为预后良好、预后不良和预后中等的三类。治疗临床试验的结果将部分取决于从这些预后组中入选试验的患者比例。通过对近期三项精神病患者治疗试验的考量,该假设的影响得以阐明。