Solar cycles and malignant melanoma.

There has been a sixfold increase in the incidence of malignant melanoma in the State of Connecticut during the past forty years. Superimposed on a steady incidence rise are cycles of markedly increased incidence rates which follow periods of maximum sunspot activity. We propose that the effect of sunspot cycles on human melanoma occurrence is mediated by modulation of stratospheric ozone and thus indirectly affects UV flux at the earth's surface. This hypothesis would predict a time lag in melanoma incidence cycles, relative to sunspot activity, with increasing distance from polar caps. This appears to be the case. The increase in melanoma incidence related to a given reduction in ozone depletion in this hypothesis, is in great excess of existing models relating anthropogenic ozone depletion and skin cancer.