May R M, Anderson R M
Nature. 1979 Aug 9;280(5722):455-61. doi: 10.1038/280455a0.
In the first part of this two-part article (Nature 280, 361--367), mathematical models of directly transmitted microparasitic infections were developed, taking explicit account of the dynamics of the host population. The discussion is now extended to both microparasites (viruses, bacteria and protozoa) and macroparasites (helminths and arthropods), transmitted either directly or indirectly via one or more intermediate hosts. Consideration is given to the relation between the ecology and evolution of the transmission processes and the overall dynamics, and to the mechanisms that can produce cyclic patterns, or multiple stable states, in the levels of infection in the host population.
在这篇分两部分的文章的第一部分(《自然》280卷,361 - 367页)中,建立了直接传播的微寄生物感染的数学模型,明确考虑了宿主种群的动态。现在讨论扩展到微寄生物(病毒、细菌和原生动物)和大寄生物(蠕虫和节肢动物),它们通过一个或多个中间宿主直接或间接传播。文中考虑了传播过程的生态学与进化和整体动态之间的关系,以及在宿主种群感染水平上能够产生周期性模式或多个稳定状态的机制。