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宫颈细胞学筛查试验中的错误率。

Error rates in cervical cytological screening tests.

作者信息

May D

出版信息

Br J Cancer. 1974 Feb;29(2):106-13. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1974.46.

Abstract

In an attempt to clear up the confusion evident in the literature concerning some aspects of cervical cytological screening tests, the principle is stated upon which the data acquired in a series of tests should be tabulated. The table is used to define several rates or probabilities, most of which express the rates at which errors occur. Certain rates are distinguished as of basic importance, others playing only a secondary role. The inter-relations of the rates are displayed as equations and reference is made to a set of conversion tables constructed from the equations. As an illustration, the data from a particular published paper is treated in detail, showing how the various rates can be calculated or estimated, and, in passing, also demonstrating their high degree of uncertainty.

摘要

为了消除文献中关于宫颈细胞学筛查试验某些方面明显存在的混淆,阐述了对一系列试验中获取的数据进行制表的原则。该表格用于定义几种比率或概率,其中大多数表示错误发生的比率。某些比率被视为具有根本重要性,其他的则仅起次要作用。这些比率之间的相互关系以等式形式呈现,并提及根据这些等式构建的一组换算表。作为示例,详细处理了某篇已发表论文的数据,展示了如何计算或估计各种比率,顺便还证明了它们的高度不确定性。

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本文引用的文献

1
CYTOLOGY SCREENING FOR CERVICAL CANCER IN A MUNICIPAL HOSPITAL.一家市级医院的宫颈癌细胞学筛查
Cancer. 1964 Feb;17:152-8. doi: 10.1002/1097-0142(196402)17:2<152::aid-cncr2820170203>3.0.co;2-s.
2
POSITIVE CYTOLOGY REGISTRY. A 15 YEAR EXPERIENCE.
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 1963 Aug 1;86:937-41. doi: 10.1016/s0002-9378(16)35250-4.
3
The clinical application of Bayes' theorem.
Lancet. 1967 Sep 9;2(7515):555-7. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(67)90514-4.

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