Anellis A, Werkowski S
Appl Microbiol. 1968 Sep;16(9):1300-8. doi: 10.1128/am.16.9.1300-1308.1968.
Several statistical methods, including the conventional technique of Schmidt and Nank, were evaluated for estimating radiation resistance values of various strains of Clostridium botulinum by the use of partial spoilage data from an inoculated ham pack study. Procedures based on quantal response were preferred. The tedious but rigorous probit maximum likelihood determination was used as a standard of comparison. Weibull's graphical treatment was the method of choice because it is simple to utilize, it is mathematically sound, and its ld(50) values agreed closely with the reference standard. In addition, it offers a means for analyzing the type of microbial death kinetics that occur in the pack (exponential, normal, log normal, or mixed distributions), and it predicts the probability of microbial death with any radiation dose used, as well as the dose needed to destroy any given number of organisms, without the need to assume the death pattern of the partial spoilage data. The Weibull analysis indicated a normal type kinetics of death for C. botulinum spores in irradiated cured ham rather than an exponential order of death, as assumed by the Schmidt-Nank formula. The Weibull 12D equivalent of a radiation process, or the minimal radiation dose (MRD), for cured ham was consistently higher than both the experimental sterilizing dose (ESD) and the Schmidt-Nank average MRD. The latter calculation was lower than the ESD in three of the five instances examined, which seems unrealistic. The Spearman-Kärber estimate was favored as the arithmetic technique on the bases of ease of computation, close agreement with the reference method, and providing confidence limits for the ld(50) values.
通过使用接种火腿包装研究中的部分变质数据,对包括施密特和南克的传统技术在内的几种统计方法进行了评估,以估计各种肉毒梭菌菌株的抗辐射值。基于定量反应的程序更受青睐。繁琐但严谨的概率最大似然测定法被用作比较标准。威布尔图形处理法是首选方法,因为它易于使用,数学上合理,其半数致死剂量(LD50)值与参考标准非常接近。此外,它提供了一种分析包装中发生的微生物死亡动力学类型(指数分布、正态分布、对数正态分布或混合分布)的方法,并且可以预测使用任何辐射剂量时微生物死亡的概率,以及杀灭任何给定数量生物体所需的剂量,而无需假设部分变质数据的死亡模式。威布尔分析表明,辐照腌制火腿中的肉毒梭菌孢子的死亡动力学为正态类型,而不是施密特 - 南克公式所假设的指数死亡顺序。腌制火腿的辐射过程的威布尔12D等效值或最小辐射剂量(MRD)始终高于实验杀菌剂量(ESD)和施密特 - 南克平均MRD。在检查的五个实例中的三个中,后者的计算值低于ESD,这似乎不太现实。基于计算简便、与参考方法高度一致以及为LD50值提供置信限,斯皮尔曼 - 卡尔伯估计法被认为是算术技术中的首选。