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1977年波多黎各登革热疫情:成本分析

Epidemic dengue fever in Puerto Rico, 1977: a cost analysis.

作者信息

Von Allmen S D, López-Correa R H, Woodall J P, Morens D M, Chiriboga J, Casta-Velez A

出版信息

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1979 Nov;28(6):1040-4. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.1979.28.1040.

Abstract

During the period July-December 1977, a widespread epidemic of dengue fever occurred in Puerto Rico. The cost of the epidemic was calculated, using upper and lower limit incidence figures, in terms of direct costs (medical care and epidemic control measures) and indirect costs (lost production of ill workers and parents of ill children). Direct costs were estimated to range between $2.4 and $4.7 million. Indirect costs were calculated by using current (1977) employment and wage data and population extrapolations from the 1970 census, and entailed a loss to the Puerto Rico economy of from $3.7 to $10.9 million. The total cost of this epidemic, therefore, was estimated to be in a range of $6.0 to $15.6 million, of which epidemic control measures comprised 7.8--20.2%.

摘要

1977年7月至12月期间,波多黎各爆发了大规模登革热疫情。利用发病率的上限和下限数据,计算了此次疫情的成本,包括直接成本(医疗护理和疫情控制措施)和间接成本(患病工人以及患病儿童家长的生产损失)。直接成本估计在240万至470万美元之间。间接成本是根据1977年的就业和工资数据以及从1970年人口普查得出的人口推算数据计算得出的,波多黎各经济因此损失了370万至1090万美元。因此,此次疫情的总成本估计在600万至1560万美元之间,其中疫情控制措施占7.8%至20.2%。

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