Smart R G, Gray G
Int J Addict. 1979 Oct;14(7):905-17. doi: 10.3109/10826087909073935.
This study was concerned with the relative importance of parental, peer, and demographic variables in predicting problem drinking among young people. A survey of drinking and drinking problems was conducted among 1,439 students in two schools in Ontario. A Multiple Classification Analysis was employed to identify variables with a significant and unique predictive power. It was found that problem drinking is best predicted with situational factors and those directly connected with drinking. Parental and peer variables had little unique predictive power. Problem drinkers were more often male, had their first drinks away from home, and usually drank in cars.
本研究关注父母、同伴及人口统计学变量在预测年轻人酗酒问题中的相对重要性。对安大略省两所学校的1439名学生进行了饮酒及饮酒问题的调查。采用多重分类分析来确定具有显著且独特预测能力的变量。研究发现，情境因素以及与饮酒直接相关的因素最能预测酗酒问题。父母及同伴变量几乎没有独特的预测能力。酗酒者多为男性，首次饮酒不在家中，且通常在车内饮酒。
