Moss A J, DeCamilla J, Mietlowski W, Greene W A, Goldstein S, Locksley R
Circulation. 1975 Dec;52(6 Suppl):III204-10.
A 6-hour taped electrocardiogram recording was obtained prior to hospital discharge on 193 patients less than 66 years of age with a definite or probable myocardial infarction. All ventricular premature beats (VPBs) were identified on the 6-hour recording, and the various VPB characteristics were related to a complicated course (CC) defined as cardiac death or myocardial reinfarction within 4 months after hospital discharge. Only three univariate VPB characteristics (multiform pattern, bigeminal rhythm, and frequency greater than or equal to 20/hr) were significantly associated with a 4-month posthospital CC. By use of bivariate and multivariate combinations of these three VPB characteristics, a two-grade prognostic stratification system was derived: Grade I VPBs (CC = 8%) included patients with less than 20 VPB/hr but with neither multiform nor bigeminal beats: Grade II VPBs (CC = 31%, P less than 0.001) contained patients with greater than or equal to 20 VPBs/hr or with multiform or bigeminal beats or both. Patients with Grade II VPBs had more severe cardiac disease, but when patients were stratified by the clinical severity of their cardiac disease, Grade II VPBs identified patients with higher CC rates. The clinical significance of these findings together with a critical analysis of the prognostic stratification method are discussed.
对193名年龄小于66岁、确诊或疑似心肌梗死的患者在出院前进行了6小时的心电图磁带记录。在这6小时的记录中识别出所有室性早搏(VPB),并将各种VPB特征与定义为出院后4个月内心脏死亡或心肌再梗死的复杂病程(CC)相关联。仅有三个单变量VPB特征(多形性模式、二联律以及频率大于或等于20次/小时)与出院后4个月的CC显著相关。通过使用这三个VPB特征的双变量和多变量组合,得出了一个两级预后分层系统:I级VPB(CC = 8%)包括VPB每小时少于20次且无多形性或二联律的患者;II级VPB(CC = 31%,P小于0.001)包括VPB每小时大于或等于20次、有多形性或二联律或两者皆有的患者。II级VPB患者的心脏疾病更严重,但当根据患者心脏疾病的临床严重程度进行分层时,II级VPB识别出CC发生率更高的患者。本文讨论了这些发现的临床意义以及对预后分层方法的批判性分析。