Rogan W J, Gladen B
Am J Epidemiol. 1978 Jan;107(1):71-6. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a112510.
This paper deals with some basis properties of screening tests. Such tests purport to separate people with disease from people without. Minimal criteria for such a process to be a test are discussed. Various ways of judging the goodness of a test are examined. A common use of tests is to estimate prevalence of disease; frequency of positive tests is shown to be a bad estimate, and the necessary adjustmants are given.
本文探讨了筛查试验的一些基本特性。此类试验旨在将患病者与未患病者区分开来。文中讨论了该过程成为一项试验的最低标准。研究了判断一项试验优劣的各种方法。试验的一个常见用途是估计疾病的患病率;结果表明阳性试验的频率是一个不准确的估计,并给出了必要的调整方法。