Guyer B, Bisong A A, Gould J, Brigaud M, Aymard M
Bull World Health Organ. 1980;58(2):285-91.
A case-control study was conducted in Yaoundé, United Republic of Cameroon, to evaluate the hypothesis that intramuscular inoculations predisposed young children to paralysis if they were later exposed to poliomyelitis virus. Thirty-three cases with lower motor neuron disease and 66 neighbourhood controls were studied. Poliovirus was isolated from 39% of the paralytic cases but from only 18% of the comparison group. Controls were more likely to have had serological evidence of previous exposure to all three poliovirus types while most of the paralytic cases had been exposed to a poliovirus for the first time. Two-thirds of the paralytic cases but only 11% of the comparison group had been ill, visited a medical facility, and received multiple injections, primarily with quinine and penicillin, in the month prior to the onset of poliomyelitis. There was a strong temporal relationship between these injections and the onset of paralysis. The increased relative risks (15 and 32, respectively) of paralysis associated with inoculations in the two weeks immediately prior to onset of disease were felt to represent the treatment of symptoms related to poliomyelitis. However, the increased relative risks (13 and 27, respectively) three and four weeks prior to onset were felt to be consistent with the hypothesis that intramuscular injections provoked paralysis. Overestimation of this measure of the effect because of bias in the control group is discussed.
在喀麦隆共和国雅温得进行了一项病例对照研究,以评估肌内接种使幼儿在随后接触脊髓灰质炎病毒时易患麻痹症这一假设。研究了33例下运动神经元疾病病例和66名邻里对照。39%的麻痹病例分离出脊髓灰质炎病毒,而对照组仅18%分离出该病毒。对照组更有可能有先前接触过所有三种脊髓灰质炎病毒血清学证据,而大多数麻痹病例是首次接触脊髓灰质炎病毒。三分之二的麻痹病例,但对照组中只有11%在脊髓灰质炎发病前一个月生病、去过医疗机构并接受过多次注射,主要是奎宁和青霉素。这些注射与麻痹发作之间存在很强的时间关系。在疾病发作前两周内接种疫苗导致麻痹的相对风险增加(分别为15和32),被认为是对与脊髓灰质炎相关症状的治疗。然而,在发病前三周和四周相对风险增加(分别为13和27),被认为与肌内注射引发麻痹的假设一致。文中讨论了由于对照组存在偏差而对该效应测量值的高估问题。