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1880年费城人口普查中人口漏计估计数及死亡率年龄模式评估。

An evaluation of estimates of underenumeration in the census and the age pattern of mortality, Philadelphia, 1880.

作者信息

Condran G A

出版信息

Demography. 1984 Feb;21(1):53-69.

PMID:6370745
Abstract

The schedule of mortality by age for Philadelphia's 1880 population classified by sex and race showed aberrations from Coale and Demeny West, South, and North model life tables. Deviations from standard age patterns of mortality were especially pronounced for the black population. The question addressed in this paper is whether the alternative age patterns of mortality are produced by underenumeration in the 1880 census or by actual variations in the age-specific mortality experience. The conclusion was reached that the underenumeration of the urban population, especially the blacks, exceeds estimates for the national population. In addition, the results indicated that the black population faced risks of dying that genuinely differed from standard age patterns. An attempt to use a Brass logit model to generalize the black mortality experience met with success for females but not for males.

摘要

按性别和种族分类的1880年费城人口的年龄别死亡率表显示,与科尔和德梅尼的西、南、北模型生命表存在偏差。死亡率的标准年龄模式偏差在黑人人口中尤为明显。本文探讨的问题是,这种替代的年龄别死亡率模式是由1880年人口普查中的人口漏查造成的,还是由特定年龄死亡率经历的实际差异造成的。得出的结论是,城市人口,尤其是黑人,漏查人数超过了全国人口的估计数。此外,结果表明,黑人面临的死亡风险与标准年龄模式确实不同。试图使用布拉斯对数几率模型来概括黑人的死亡率经历,对女性成功了,但对男性却没有成功。

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