Calnan M
Soc Sci Med. 1984;19(8):823-30. doi: 10.1016/0277-9536(84)90399-x.
Extravagant claims have been made about the power of the Health Belief Model (HBM) to explain both decisions to adopt patterns of health behaviour and to use preventive health services. However, studies where information on beliefs are collected before information on behaviour are not common. The analyses presented here are based on prospective studies examining how far the variables which make up the HBM predict attendance at (i) a class teaching breast self-examination and (ii) a clinic providing mammography. The results show that different dimensions of the HBM are amongst the best predictors of attendance at each of the different services although the overall variance explained by the HBM in both sets of analysis was small.
关于健康信念模型（HBM）在解释采取健康行为模式和使用预防性健康服务的决策方面的强大作用，人们已提出了夸张的说法。然而，在行为信息之前收集信念信息的研究并不常见。此处呈现的分析基于前瞻性研究，考察构成HBM的变量在多大程度上能够预测（i）乳腺自我检查课程的出勤率以及（ii）提供乳房X光检查的诊所的出勤率。结果表明，尽管在两组分析中HBM所解释的总体方差较小，但HBM的不同维度是每种不同服务出勤率的最佳预测指标之一。
