Peto R, Gray R, Brantom P, Grasso P
IARC Sci Publ. 1984(57):627-65.
A Weibull analysis is presented of the dose and time relationships for the effects on 4 080 inbred rats of chronic ingestion in the drinking water of 16 different doses of N-nitroso-dimethylamine (NDMA) and of N-nitrosodiethylamine (NDEA). The sites chiefly affected were the liver (by both agents) and the oesophagus (by NDEA only). Since the experiment continued into extreme old age, effects became clearly measurable even at a dose of only 0.01 mg/kg per day, which is an order of magnitude lower than previously achieved. (After only two years of treatment, however, the 'TD50' doses needed to halve the proportion of tumourless survivors would have been about 0.06 mg/kg per day of NDEA and about 0.12 mg/kg per day of NDMA.) The general pattern of response was that the log probability of remaining tumourless was given by the product of two terms, the first (the 'Weibull b-value') depending on the dose-rate but not on the duration of exposure, and the second depending not on dose at all but on (approximately the seventh power of) duration. For oesophageal tumours, the 'Weibull b-value' was approximately proportional to the cube of the dose-rate of NDEA (males 21 d3, females 11 d3, where d = dose-rate in mg/kg adult body weight/day, and the background incidence was unmeasurably low. For liver tumours induced by NDEA, the b-value was approximately proportional to the fourth power of dose-rate + 0.04 mg/kg per day (males, 19 (d + 0.04)4; females, 32 (d + 0.04)4), although the relationships were slightly different for the different subsites of liver tumour. This one formula implies both approximate linearity at low doses and an approximately cubic relationship within the higher range of doses that was studied. For liver tumours induced by NDMA, the Weibull b-value was approximately proportional to the sixth power of dose rate + 0.1 mg/kg per day (males, 37 (d + 0.1)6; females, 51 (d + 0.1)6), again with variation between liver subsites, and again implying approximate linearity at low doses. The difference between the latter two relationships may represent differences in the induction of particular DNA repair enzymes by NDMA and NDEA, or in the effects of those enzymes on methylated and on ethylated DNA. These formulae should, of course, be trusted only in the range of doses from which they were derived, and particularly not for those above it.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
对4080只近交系大鼠进行了威布尔分析,研究了其长期饮用含16种不同剂量N-亚硝基二甲胺(NDMA)和N-亚硝基二乙胺(NDEA)的饮用水后的剂量与时间关系。主要受影响的部位是肝脏(两种试剂均可导致)和食管(仅NDEA可导致)。由于实验持续到大鼠极高龄阶段,即使每天仅0.01mg/kg的剂量也能明显检测到影响,这比之前达到的剂量低了一个数量级。(然而,仅治疗两年后,使无肿瘤存活者比例减半所需的“TD50”剂量,NDEA约为每天0.06mg/kg,NDMA约为每天0.12mg/kg。)总体反应模式是,无肿瘤的对数概率由两个项的乘积给出,第一项(“威布尔b值”)取决于剂量率,而不取决于暴露持续时间,第二项根本不取决于剂量,而是取决于(大约是持续时间的七次方)。对于食管肿瘤,“威布尔b值”大约与NDEA剂量率的立方成正比(雄性为21d³,雌性为11d³,其中d = 以mg/kg成年体重/天为单位的剂量率,背景发病率低至无法测量。对于NDEA诱导的肝肿瘤,b值大约与剂量率的四次方 + 每天0.04mg/kg成正比(雄性为19(d + 0.04)⁴;雌性为32(d + 0.04)⁴),尽管肝肿瘤不同亚部位的关系略有不同。这一公式意味着在低剂量时近似线性,在研究的较高剂量范围内近似立方关系。对于NDMA诱导的肝肿瘤,威布尔b值大约与剂量率的六次方 + 每天0.1mg/kg成正比(雄性为37(d + 0.1)⁶;雌性为51(d + 0.1)⁶),同样在肝亚部位之间存在差异,并且同样意味着在低剂量时近似线性。后两种关系之间的差异可能代表NDMA和NDEA诱导特定DNA修复酶的差异,或者这些酶对甲基化和乙基化DNA的影响差异。当然,这些公式仅在推导它们的剂量范围内可信,尤其不适用于高于该范围的剂量。(摘要截断于400字)