Starfield B, Katz H, Gabriel A, Livingston G, Benson P, Hankin J, Horn S, Steinwachs D
N Engl J Med. 1984 Mar 29;310(13):824-9. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198403293101305.
We examined all the morbidity experienced in a six-year period by a total of 2591 children who were continuously enrolled in a prepaid medical plan. The children had received 19,291 diagnoses, each of which was assigned to one of 14 types of morbidity, and the frequency of each type was determined. Although the typical child had at least one problem in 5 of the 14 types of morbidity in the six-year period, over 20 per cent of children had at least 8 different types of problems during that time. Children with a greater variety of acute problems and more frequent acute problems were also more likely to have nonacute problems during the six-year period. Conversely, children with nonacute problems had more acute problems than other children. Our findings indicate that morbidity, like use of health services, occurred in clusters in this population of children. Therefore, an understanding of the cause and projected outcome of morbidity among children will be incomplete if the focus is only on specific diseases or specific types of illnesses.
我们调查了连续参加预付医疗计划的2591名儿童在六年期间所经历的所有发病情况。这些儿童共获得了19291次诊断,每次诊断都被归入14种发病类型中的一种,并确定了每种类型的发病频率。尽管在六年期间,典型的儿童在14种发病类型中的5种至少存在一个问题,但超过20%的儿童在这段时间内至少有8种不同类型的问题。在六年期间,患有更多种类急性问题和更频繁急性问题的儿童也更有可能患有非急性问题。相反,患有非急性问题的儿童比其他儿童有更多的急性问题。我们的研究结果表明,在这群儿童中,发病情况与医疗服务的使用一样,呈聚集性发生。因此,如果仅关注特定疾病或特定类型的疾病,对儿童发病原因和预期结果的理解将是不完整的。