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通过广义线性混合模型研究儿童发病率的邻里层面异质性。

Neighborhood-level heterogeneity in childhood morbidity through generalized linear mixed models.

作者信息

Derso Endeshaw A, Gelaye Kassahun A, Campolo Maria G, Woldemariam Amare T, Alibrandi Angela

机构信息

Department of Economics, University of Messina, Messina, Italy.

Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Science, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2025 Jul 21;13:1456068. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1456068. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Childhood morbidities are crucial for improving long-term public health outcomes. This study aimed to examine the existence of child-specific and regional variation in childhood morbidity based on the cross-cutting study of the Performance Monitoring for Action Ethiopia community survey (PMA-ET), and its relationship to socioeconomic and demographic variables in families.

METHODS

We enrolled 2,581 children suffering from different illnesses from six regions of the country of the survey at 6 weeks postpartum. Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) with maximum likelihood estimation were used to assess children's comorbidity status, and the DHARMa package in R to provide readily interpretable scaled residuals and test functions for typical model misspecification problems for the fitted GLMMs.

RESULTS

GLMMs with two random intercept models show the presence of child morbidity variations. Cough, fever, and diarrhea were found to be the most frequent types of children's illnesses among the main illness categories that were recorded. Cooking fuel, wealth quartiles, mothers' marital status, mother age, parity, residence, mother's education status, and availability of electricity were significantly associated with children's morbidity.

CONCLUSIONS

These data show that variations in children's comorbidity were associated with both regional and child-specific characteristics. Thus, general principles for designing policies and interventions are required to reduce child comorbidity.

摘要

目的

儿童疾病对于改善长期公共卫生结果至关重要。本研究旨在基于埃塞俄比亚行动绩效监测社区调查(PMA-ET)的交叉研究,探讨儿童疾病中特定儿童和区域差异的存在情况,及其与家庭社会经济和人口统计学变量的关系。

方法

我们在产后6周时从调查所在国家的六个地区招募了2581名患有不同疾病的儿童。采用具有最大似然估计的广义线性混合模型(GLMMs)来评估儿童的合并症状况,并使用R语言中的DHARMa软件包为拟合的GLMMs的典型模型误设问题提供易于解释的尺度残差和检验函数。

结果

具有两个随机截距模型的GLMMs显示存在儿童疾病差异。在记录的主要疾病类别中,咳嗽、发烧和腹泻是最常见的儿童疾病类型。烹饪燃料、财富四分位数、母亲的婚姻状况、母亲年龄、胎次、居住地区、母亲的教育状况和电力供应与儿童疾病显著相关。

结论

这些数据表明,儿童合并症的差异与区域和特定儿童特征均有关联。因此,需要制定政策和干预措施的一般原则以减少儿童合并症。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9367/12320894/26e93f3ecb0c/fpubh-13-1456068-g0001.jpg

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