Breman J G, Hayner N S
Am J Epidemiol. 1984 Jun;119(6):880-9. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113810.
Active surveillance to detect all patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome who had had onset of illness from July 1, 1976 through April 30, 1977 was undertaken in Michigan after indications that the syndrome might be associated with the National Influenza Immunization Program of 1976-1977. Hospital record room librarians, neurologists, and neurosurgeons reported the greatest number of cases; coded hospital discharge records were the best means of ascertaining case occurrence. This differed from national surveillance, which relied essentially on reports that neurologists and other clinicians sent to state epidemiologists and then to the Centers for Disease Control; hospital discharge lists were not systemically reviewed nationally. A total of 79 of the Michigan cases were in persons who had not received swine influenza vaccine, while 46 cases were in persons who had received it. For unvaccinated adults, the incidence of Guillain-Barré syndrome during the 10-month surveillance period was 0.36 cases per 10(6) person-weeks; for adults with onset within six weeks of vaccination, it was 2.31 cases per 10(6) person-weeks. After six weeks post-vaccination, the rate decreased to 0.17 cases per 10(6) person-weeks. The attributable risk for acquiring Guillain-Barré syndrome within six weeks after receiving swine influenza vaccine was 11.70 cases per 10(6) persons vaccinated.
1976年7月1日至1977年4月30日期间发病的所有吉兰-巴雷综合征患者的主动监测工作在密歇根州展开,此前有迹象表明该综合征可能与1976 - 1977年的国家流感免疫计划有关。医院记录室的图书管理员、神经科医生和神经外科医生报告的病例数最多;编码后的医院出院记录是确定病例发生情况的最佳手段。这与全国监测不同,全国监测主要依赖神经科医生和其他临床医生上报给州流行病学家,再由州流行病学家上报给疾病控制中心的报告;全国范围内没有对医院出院清单进行系统审查。密歇根州的病例中,共有79例患者未接种猪流感疫苗,46例患者接种了猪流感疫苗。对于未接种疫苗的成年人,在10个月的监测期内,吉兰-巴雷综合征的发病率为每10⁶人周0.36例;对于接种疫苗后六周内发病的成年人,发病率为每10⁶人周2.31例。接种疫苗六周后,发病率降至每10⁶人周0.17例。接种猪流感疫苗后六周内患吉兰-巴雷综合征的归因风险为每10⁶名接种者中有11.70例。