Clogg C C, Shockey J W
Demography. 1984 May;21(2):235-57.
This paper deals with the mismatch between occupation and schooling attainment, the imbalance between occupation-specific demand for labor and schooling-level-specific labor supply. A framework for measuring the prevalence of mismatch is given, and a simple index derived from it gives plausible results and robust inferences about differentials and time trend. This approach can be applied to existing data, yields comprehensive and current social indicators, and can be used with a minimum number of assumptions. Trends for the U.S. labor force over the 1969-1980 interval are examined. Results show that there has been a dramatic and general increase in mismatch prevalence. Various demographic explanations of mismatch trends are examined.
本文探讨了职业与受教育程度之间的不匹配问题，即特定职业的劳动力需求与特定教育水平的劳动力供给之间的失衡。给出了一个衡量不匹配发生率的框架，并由此得出的一个简单指数给出了关于差异和时间趋势的合理结果及可靠推断。这种方法可应用于现有数据，能产生全面且最新的社会指标，并且只需最少的假设即可使用。研究了1969 - 1980年间美国劳动力的趋势。结果表明，不匹配发生率有了显著且普遍的上升。还考察了对不匹配趋势的各种人口统计学解释。
