Foreign medical graduates in the 1980s: trends in specialization.

Secondary analysis of data collected by the American Medical Association and the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC) suggests that measures to diminish the flow of alien Foreign Medical Graduates (FMGs) into the United States have been less effective than planned. Declining trends in the proportion of FMG house officers in the mid- to late-1970s have recently stabilized around 19 per cent. There has also been a dramatic increase in the number of US citizen Foreign Medical Graduates ( USFMGs ) in house officer positions. A pattern of alien FMG and USFMG house officer specialization correlates with specialties designated by the GMENAC as shortage areas by 1990 (r = -.49, p less than .05). Despite the GMENAC prediction of a surplus of physicians by 1990, differential selection of alien FMGs and USFMGs into shortage specialties may assure their substantial future presence in the US health care system.