Krafsur E S, Armstrong J C
Parassitologia. 1982 Dec;24(2-3):105-20.
Malaria incidence and prevalence surveys were performed from December, 1967 to February, 1969 among the indigenous Nilotic inhabitants of Gambela, a small administrative centre in the western lowlands of Ethiopia. Entomological data suggested that malaria transmission was seasonal and this was consistent with monthly P. falciparum parasite rates. Monthly P. malariae parasite rates, however, were consistent with an hypothesis of homogeneity. The age-specific incidence of quartan malaria among 26 children zero to 11 years old at the start of study was examined at 28 day intervals over a 15-month period. The resulting data suggested that parasite acquisition was a slow process and an annual P. malariae incidence of 0.17 was derived. This statistic was supported by studies performed five years later: The incidence of P. malariae among 102 infants followed from birth up to 48 months of age was 0.16-0.20. An attempt was then made to account for the prevalence of P. malariae in terms of the entomological conditions observed in Gambela. Macdonald's formula for the sporozoite rate was used to derive hypothetical relative proportions of P. falciparum and P. malariae among the observed sporozoite-positive mosquito populations. About 4% of the sporozoite challenges were estimated to be of P. malariae. An hypothetical annual entomological P. malariae inoculation rate was then made by multiplying the number of observed sporozoite inoculations per person (approximately 10/year) by the proportion of them estimated to be of P. malariae. The annual P. malariae sporozoite challenge was thus estimated at 0.4 per person, in good agreement with the annual incidence estimates from parasite rates in children.
1967年12月至1969年2月,在埃塞俄比亚西部低地的一个小型行政中心甘贝拉,对尼罗特族原住民进行了疟疾发病率和流行率调查。昆虫学数据表明疟疾传播具有季节性,这与恶性疟原虫的月度寄生虫率一致。然而,三日疟原虫的月度寄生虫率与均匀性假说相符。在一项为期15个月的研究中,对26名年龄在0至11岁之间、研究开始时的儿童进行了每28天一次的三日疟年龄别发病率检查。所得数据表明寄生虫感染是一个缓慢的过程,由此得出三日疟原虫的年发病率为0.17。这一统计数据得到了五年后进行的研究的支持:对102名从出生到48个月大的婴儿进行跟踪研究,三日疟原虫的发病率为0.16 - 0.20。随后,根据在甘贝拉观察到的昆虫学状况,试图解释三日疟原虫的流行情况。利用麦克唐纳的子孢子率公式,推算出在观察到的子孢子阳性蚊虫种群中,恶性疟原虫和三日疟原虫的假设相对比例。估计约4%的子孢子感染是由三日疟原虫引起的。然后,通过将每人观察到的子孢子接种数(约每年10次)乘以估计由三日疟原虫引起的比例,得出三日疟原虫假设的年昆虫学接种率。因此,估计每人每年的三日疟原虫子孢子感染率为0.4,这与根据儿童寄生虫率得出的年发病率估计值非常吻合。