Grundy E, Arie T
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1982 Mar 13;284(6318):799-802. doi: 10.1136/bmj.284.6318.799.
The rapid increase in the number of very aged people has not been accompanied by appropriate expansion of local authority residential facilities. The rate of provision in 1976 was already acknowledged to be inadequate, but data are now presented to show that since then there has been an effective fall in the rate of provision of some 9000 places equivalent to, say, 180 old people's homes of 50 places each. The prospects for the future are even gloomier: public spending cuts and local authority priorities suggest a continuing fall in the rate of provision that can be expected to have a profound effect on the National Health Service, on the burden on families, and on the condition in which old people are obliged to remain "in the community" (where support services have likewise failed to keep pace with demographic change).
高龄老人数量的迅速增长并未伴随着地方政府住宅设施的相应扩充。1976年的供应率就已被认为不足,但现在的数据表明,自那时起,供应率实际上下降了约9000个床位,相当于约180所每所50个床位的养老院。未来的前景更加黯淡:公共开支削减和地方政府的优先事项表明,供应率将持续下降,预计这将对国民医疗服务体系、家庭负担以及老年人被迫留在“社区”的状况(在社区中,支持服务同样未能跟上人口结构的变化)产生深远影响。