Kaplan J E, Eliason D A, Moore M, Sather G E, Schonberger L B, Cabrera-Coello L, Fernandez de Castro J
Am J Epidemiol. 1983 Mar;117(3):335-43. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113546.
A binational investigation was conducted in two Mexican cities in 1980 to study epidemiologic characteristics of dengue. Two study areas were selected in each of the cities (Merida and Tampico); in each area, in February and in September, sanitarians recorded information concerning abundance of Aedes aegypti, and public health nurses obtained blood specimens and clinical information from residents. Ninety-nine individuals (24% of the study population) showed serologic evidence of recent dengue 1 infection by hemagglutination inhibition or complement fixation. Infection rates in the four study areas (9%-51%) increased with age in three of the four areas and were higher in females in all four areas. These differences in rates may be related to exposure to infectious mosquitoes in the home; A. aegypti feed most actively during daylight hours, and both females (p less than 0.001) and older individuals (p less than 0.001) were more likely than males or younger persons to be in the home when the study was conducted. A positive correlation was found between infection rates and the container index (number of potential A. aegypti breeding sites per premise--Pearson correlation coefficient 0.95, p = 0.05), suggesting that this index may be a useful predictor of neighborhoods at high risk of dengue transmission. Pending additional studies, public cleanup campaigns should be targeted to neighborhoods in which container indices are highest when an outbreak of dengue is likely to occur.
1980年在墨西哥的两个城市开展了一项双边调查,以研究登革热的流行病学特征。在每个城市(梅里达和坦皮科)选取了两个研究区域;在每个区域,2月和9月时,卫生工作者记录了埃及伊蚊的数量信息,公共卫生护士从居民那里采集了血样并获取了临床信息。99人(占研究人群的24%)通过血凝抑制试验或补体结合试验显示出近期感染登革热1型的血清学证据。四个研究区域的感染率(9%-51%)在其中三个区域随年龄增长而升高,且在所有四个区域中女性的感染率更高。这些感染率的差异可能与在家中接触感染性蚊子有关;埃及伊蚊在白天最为活跃,在开展研究时,女性(p<0.001)和年长者(p<0.001)比男性或年轻人更有可能在家中。感染率与容器指数(每户潜在埃及伊蚊繁殖地的数量——皮尔逊相关系数0.95,p = 0.05)之间存在正相关,这表明该指数可能是登革热传播高风险社区的一个有用预测指标。在进行更多研究之前,当可能发生登革热疫情时,公共清理活动应针对容器指数最高的社区。