Goldman N, Lord G
Demography. 1983 May;20(2):177-95.
Using formulas which measure life cycle characteristics of widowhood as a function of life table survivorship and age at marriage, we illustrate changes in patterns of widowhood and widowerhood since 1950, as well as differences by race, by age of bride and of groom, and by age differences between spouses. Although the current inequality in the risks of widowhood and widowerhood for the average couple is mostly due to sex differences in mortality, a one year age difference between spouses has about the same impact as does a one year difference in life expectancy. Calculations based on current distributions of age of groom by age of bride indicate that the older the age of groom, the greater the age difference between spouses and the higher the likelihood of a woman outliving her husband: the typical groom who marries in his fifties faces a 4 to 1 chance that he will be outlived by his spouse.
我们使用一些公式来衡量丧偶的生命周期特征,这些公式是根据生命表存活率和结婚年龄得出的。我们展示了自1950年以来丧偶和鳏居模式的变化,以及种族、新娘和新郎年龄以及配偶年龄差异方面的不同。虽然目前普通夫妇丧偶风险的不平等主要归因于死亡率的性别差异,但配偶之间一岁的年龄差异与预期寿命一岁的差异影响大致相同。根据新郎年龄与新娘年龄的当前分布进行的计算表明,新郎年龄越大,配偶之间的年龄差异就越大,女性比丈夫长寿的可能性就越高:典型的五十多岁结婚的新郎面临着配偶比自己长寿的几率为4比1。