General health screening of four-year-olds in a Swedish country. V. A strategy for improving the effectiveness and the cost efficiency of the psychological screening program.

Data presented in a previous paper pointed to the necessity for improving the overall sensitivity of the psychological screening program. The present report indicates possibilities for such an improvement without changing the screening methods. A comparison of the primary data of the true positives, the false positives and all the negatives (non-referred) revealed the necessity of more stringent referral criteria. It is predicted that the systematic application these criteria would result in an increase in the rate of true positives form 2.8 to 4.8% of the screened population. In addition a strategy aiming at a reduction of the costs without deteriorating the effectiveness and based on a differential application of the various elements of the screening program is presented.