Woodward A
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1983 Mar;37(1):66-9. doi: 10.1136/jech.37.1.66.
Motorcycle accidents constitute a major cause of death and disability among the young. This paper draws on routinely collected data to describe the trends for motorcycling and motorcycle accidents in Britain between 1951 and 1980. The level of risk (calculated as motorcyclist fatalities per motorcycle kilometre travelled) has fallen, but this effect has been overwhelmed by changes in motorcycle use. The paper discusses some of the factors that may have contributed to these time trends and concludes that accident prevention programmes should address the determinants of use as well as those of risk.
摩托车事故是导致年轻人死亡和残疾的主要原因之一。本文利用常规收集的数据，描述了1951年至1980年间英国摩托车骑行和摩托车事故的趋势。风险水平（以每行驶一公里摩托车的骑行者死亡人数计算）有所下降，但摩托车使用情况的变化掩盖了这一效果。本文讨论了一些可能导致这些时间趋势的因素，并得出结论，事故预防计划应针对使用的决定因素以及风险的决定因素。
