Fernandez de Castro J
Rev Infect Dis. 1983 May-Jun;5(3):422-6. doi: 10.1093/clinids/5.3.422.
Comparison of the figures for measles morbidity in Mexico over the years is difficult because of the different rates of reporting of cases. In the 1960s, approximately 3% of the true number of cases of measles was reported, whereas in 1980 this percentage increased to approximately 20%. A more representative time curve can be drawn for mortality, which dropped sharply in 1973-1980 as a result of the extensive use of measles vaccine. The relationship between measles and immunization is close, and morbidity for the above period is a mathematical function of the number of doses of vaccine distributed. During 1981, about four million doses of vaccine were administered, and in 1982 another four million children will be immunized, with a coverage of 70% of the susceptible population. It is hoped that in 1982 the incidence of measles will decrease to the low levels obtained in 1974-1975, although eradication in the near future seems unlikely.
由于麻疹病例的报告率不同,多年来墨西哥麻疹发病率数据的比较很困难。在20世纪60年代,报告的麻疹病例实际数量约为3%,而在1980年,这一比例上升到了约20%。可以绘制出更具代表性的死亡率时间曲线,由于广泛使用麻疹疫苗,1973年至1980年期间死亡率急剧下降。麻疹与免疫之间的关系密切,上述时期的发病率是分发疫苗剂量数的数学函数。1981年期间,约发放了400万剂疫苗,1982年将再为400万儿童进行免疫接种,覆盖70%的易感人群。希望1982年麻疹发病率能降至1974年至1975年的低水平,不过近期根除麻疹似乎不太可能。