Young M J, Bresnitz E A, Strom B L
Ann Intern Med. 1983 Aug;99(2):248-51. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-99-2-248.
In recent years there has been increasing attention to the appropriate interpretation of a clinical study. One special concern has been the difficulty inherent in interpreting studies that were not statistically significant: Was the sample size sufficient to detect a clinically important effect if, in fact, it existed? This concern is further complicated because readers may have differing opinions of what size effect is clinically important. A pair of sample size nomograms has been developed, using common levels of statistical significance, to assist in this interpretation. The nomograms are intended to provide the clinician with a handy and easy-to-use reference for ascertaining whether an apparently negative study has a sample size adequate to detect reliably any difference between treatment groups that the clinician believes is clinically important. Examples are provided to show these principles and the use of the nomograms in interpreting negative studies.
近年来,对临床研究的恰当解读越来越受到关注。一个特别令人担忧的问题是解读无统计学显著性的研究存在内在困难:如果实际上存在临床重要效应,样本量是否足以检测到它?由于读者对于何种效应大小具有临床重要性可能存在不同观点,这一问题变得更加复杂。已开发出一对样本量诺模图,使用常见的统计学显著性水平,以协助进行这种解读。这些诺模图旨在为临床医生提供一个方便且易于使用的参考,以确定一项看似阴性的研究的样本量是否足以可靠地检测到临床医生认为具有临床重要性的治疗组之间的任何差异。文中提供了示例来说明这些原则以及诺模图在解读阴性研究中的应用。