Clarke K S, Braslow A
Med Sci Sports. 1978 Summer;10(2):94-6.
The relative risk of death among school and college varsity football players was calculated as a replication of a statistical exercise published a decade earlier. The purpose of the original exercise had been to demonstrate the epidemiological necessities and pitfalls in using fatality data to approach the hazardousness of sport. The purpose of this replication was to examine the stability of the findings of that exercise. In 1964, football was found not to constitute an additional risk of death to its participants compared to the overall mortality rate of young males adjusted for comparability by exposure to a football season. Further, compared to the automobile-related mortality rate of this population, football was much safer. In 1974 (and 1975), the frequency of football fatalities has declined, and the respective actuarial ratios consequently remained favorable to football. Fatality data, however, have limited utility in the search for preventive practices in sport. What is needed is continuous surveillance of all significant injuries and illnesses, using epidemiological principles.
学校和大学的校队橄榄球运动员的相对死亡风险是按照十年前发表的一项统计分析进行计算的。原分析的目的是展示在利用死亡数据评估运动危险性时的流行病学必要性和缺陷。此次重复分析的目的是检验该分析结果的稳定性。1964年发现，与经过一个橄榄球赛季调整可比性后的年轻男性总体死亡率相比，橄榄球运动并未给参与者带来额外的死亡风险。此外，与该人群与汽车相关的死亡率相比，橄榄球运动要安全得多。1974年（以及1975年），橄榄球死亡事故的发生率有所下降，相应的精算比率因此仍对橄榄球运动有利。然而，死亡数据在寻找运动预防措施方面的作用有限。需要运用流行病学原理对所有重大伤病进行持续监测。
