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尼泊尔农村地区纵向和综合计划生育/妇幼保健项目的相对影响。

The relative impacts of vertical and integrated FP/MCH programs in rural Nepal.

作者信息

Tuladhar J M, Stoeckel J

机构信息

Planning and Evaluation Unit, Ministry of Health.

出版信息

Stud Fam Plann. 1982 Oct;13(10):275-86.

PMID:6965178
Abstract

The objectives of this analysis were to assess the probable impacts of vertical and integrated FP/MCH programs on family planning (knowledge, use, and intentions to use), family size preferences, fertility, and mortality (child and infant). The following discussion summarizes and draws conclusions regarding the results of this investigation. The vertical program showed a greater impact on knowledge of family planning than the integrated program. Increases in knowledge between 1975 and 1978 while controlling for social and demographic variables were greater in the vertical than the integrated areas. Multiple classification analysis at both household and village levels showed that the vertical program was a better predictor of knowledge and changes in knowledge than the integrated program. In addition, the vertical program showed consistently higher proportions of women with awareness of family planning among those segments of the population that could have the greatest impact on fertility reduction in the future--namely, the younger women who are either childless or just beginning their childbearing and those with husbands who have little or no education. Neither the vertical nor the integrated FP/MCH program showed an impact on current use or ever use of family planning. The very low levels and changes in levels of these factors between the programs showed almost no difference throughout the selected demographic and socioeconomic groups. In both program areas the proportions of ever use and current use increased substantially with the number of living sons, exceeding 14 percent and 10 percent, respectively, among women with three or more sons. There were virtually no family planning users or ever users among women with no sons. This appears to indicate that "son preference" (documented in the Nepal Fertility Survey) is an important factor affecting the incidence of family planning practice and may be a formidable obstacle to a substantial reduction in fertility. Family limitation generally may not be taken seriously until a couple has produced the desired number of sons. Hence, until the value of sons (perhaps as sources of labor, financial support and security in old age, and as performers of funeral rites for fathers) can be altered it is unlikely that a reduction in fertility beyond certain levels could occur. The vertical program showed a slightly greater impact on future intentions to use family planning than the integrated program.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

摘要

本分析的目的是评估垂直式和综合式计划生育/妇幼保健项目对计划生育(知识、使用情况及使用意愿)、家庭规模偏好、生育率以及死亡率(儿童和婴儿)可能产生的影响。以下讨论总结了此次调查结果并得出结论。垂直式项目对计划生育知识的影响比综合式项目更大。在控制社会和人口变量的情况下,1975年至1978年间垂直式项目地区的知识增长幅度大于综合式项目地区。在家庭和村庄层面进行的多重分类分析表明,垂直式项目比综合式项目更能预测知识水平及其变化。此外,在未来可能对降低生育率产生最大影响的人群中,即那些未育或刚开始生育的年轻女性以及丈夫几乎没有受过教育的女性中,垂直式项目显示出知晓计划生育的女性比例始终更高。垂直式和综合式计划生育/妇幼保健项目均未对计划生育的当前使用情况或曾经使用情况产生影响。这些因素在项目之间的极低水平及水平变化在所有选定的人口和社会经济群体中几乎没有差异。在两个项目地区,曾经使用和当前使用计划生育的比例均随着存活儿子数量的增加而大幅上升,在育有三个或更多儿子的女性中,这一比例分别超过14%和10%。没有儿子的女性中几乎没有计划生育使用者或曾经使用者。这似乎表明,“重男轻女”(在尼泊尔生育率调查中有记录)是影响计划生育实施率的一个重要因素,并且可能是大幅降低生育率的一个巨大障碍。在一对夫妇生育了期望数量的儿子之前,一般可能不会认真考虑限制家庭规模。因此,在儿子的价值(或许作为劳动力来源、经济支持、养老保障以及为父亲举行葬礼的执行者)能够改变之前,生育率不太可能降至一定水平以下。垂直式项目对未来计划生育使用意愿的影响比综合式项目略大。(摘要截选至400字)

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