Brody H, Thompson J R
J Fam Pract. 1981 Jun;12(6):977-86.
Many currently accepted obstetrical practices exemplify a maximin strategy: making the best of the worst possible outcome, regardless of the actual probability of that outcome occurring. But a survey of recent obstetrical research fails to document superior clinical results when this strategy is employed in routine obstetrical care. Most research has studied obstetrical technologies in isolation rather than as parts of systems of interconnected interventions: this approach has tended to underestimate the risks of intervention and to overestimate the utility of a maximin strategy. Physicians practicing obstetrics should adopt a flexible approach and match the degree and type of intervention to actual patient needs. Better methods of assessing preventable prenatal risk are needed to allow identification of the rare-obstetrical patient requiring maximal intervention.
即无论最坏结果实际发生的概率如何,都要尽力应对最坏的可能结果。但一项对近期产科研究的调查未能证明在常规产科护理中采用这种策略能带来卓越的临床效果。大多数研究都是孤立地研究产科技术,而不是将其作为相互关联的干预系统的一部分:这种方法往往低估了干预的风险,高估了极大极小策略的效用。从事产科工作的医生应采用灵活的方法,使干预的程度和类型与患者的实际需求相匹配。需要更好的方法来评估可预防的产前风险,以便识别出需要最大程度干预的罕见产科患者。