Cahalan D
Circulation. 1981 Sep;64(3 Pt 2):III 7-14.
In this paper are summarized the implications of recent population studies in which drinking behavior is used to predict development of heart disease. A key inference is that the association of drinking behavior with mortality may be attributed as much to characteristic lifestyles as to the drinking itself. Increased emphasis on validation studies is needed to improve measurement of drinking behavior for greater precision in predicting mortality. A plan is presented for large-scale longitudinal studies to predict heart disease and other major health problems, calling for the joint efforts of agencies such as the National Center for Health Statistics and the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial.
本文总结了近期的人口研究成果,这些研究利用饮酒行为来预测心脏病的发展。一个关键推论是,饮酒行为与死亡率之间的关联,可能在很大程度上归因于特定的生活方式,而非饮酒本身。需要进一步加强验证研究,以改进饮酒行为的测量方法,从而更精确地预测死亡率。本文提出了一项针对预测心脏病和其他主要健康问题的大规模纵向研究计划,呼吁国家卫生统计中心和多重危险因素干预试验等机构共同努力。