Urinary CEA for prediction of survival time and recurrence in bladder cancer.

The prognostic information from carcinoembryonic antigen was evaluated in bacteria-free urines of patients with bladder carcinoma. Patients with elevated (greater than or equal to 30 ng/ml) U-CEA had a poorer relative and symptom-free survival than patients with initial U-CEA below 30 ng/ml. Patients in whom U-CEA decreased from before to after radiation treatment had a better survival rate than patients with increasing U-CEA. These findings were most significant in cases with large (T3 + T4) tumors or with tumors of a lower differentiation (G3). U-CEA appeared to be an independent variable for prognostic evaluation of survival, since these differences were also true within the subgroups of known variables such as classes or grades. All but one of the patients, in whom short-term local control was obtained, had a posttreatment U-CEA below 50 ng/ml. In oncology units, where the more malignant bladder tumors are treated, U-CEA determinations may indicate which patients require intensified monitoring or treatment.