Aagaard J
Scand J Soc Med. 1982;10(3):87-93. doi: 10.1177/140349488201000304.
During a period of one year information concerning social background, life events and diseases of children (aged 1-14) admitted to a paediatric department had been obtained. One year after this index hospitalization, information concerning the children's present state of health was obtained. Forty (13%) had been readmitted to hospital during the follow-up year, and the parents of 72 children (23%) reported that their child's present state of health was poor. A multivariate predictor analysis was performed. The associations discovered suggest 1) that the selected social or psycho-social factors do not appear to be of considerable importance for prediction of readmission to hospital, 2) that "poor health" in the children has a very complex prediction pattern, partly due to disease variables, partly due to indices of unfavourable family background.
在一年的时间里,收集了入住儿科病房的1至14岁儿童的社会背景、生活事件和疾病信息。在此次索引住院一年后,获取了这些儿童目前的健康状况信息。在随访的一年中,有40名儿童(13%)再次入院,72名儿童(23%)的家长报告称他们孩子目前的健康状况不佳。进行了多变量预测分析。发现的关联表明:1)所选的社会或心理社会因素对于预测再次入院似乎并不具有重要意义;2)儿童的“健康状况不佳”具有非常复杂的预测模式,部分是由于疾病变量,部分是由于不利家庭背景指标。